Articles | Volume 13, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-2259-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-2259-2021
Data description paper
 | 
26 May 2021
Data description paper |  | 26 May 2021

Sub-seasonal forecasts of demand and wind power and solar power generation for 28 European countries

Hannah C. Bloomfield, David J. Brayshaw, Paula L. M. Gonzalez, and Andrew Charlton-Perez

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Cited articles

Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Prudhomme, C., Neumann, J., Krzeminski, B., and Pappenberger, F.: Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2057–2072, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018, 2018. a
Beerli, R., Wernli, H., and Grams, C. M.: Does the lower stratosphere provide predictability for month-ahead wind electricity generation in Europe?, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 143, 3025–3036, 2017. a
Bessec, M. and Fouquau, J.: The non-linear link between electricity consumption and temperature in Europe: A threshold panel approach, Energy Economics, 30, 2705–2721, 2008. a
Bett, P., Thornton, H. E., Troccoli, A., De Felice, M., Suckling, E., Dubus, L., Saint-Drenan, Y.-M., and Brayshaw, D. J.: A simplified seasonal forecasting strategy, applied to wind and solar power in Europe, EarthArXiv, https://doi.org/10.31223/osf.io/kzwqx, 2019. a, b
Bett, P. E. and Thornton, H. E.: The climatological relationships between wind and solar energy supply in Britain, Renew. Energ., 87, 96–110, 2016. a, b
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Short summary
Energy systems are becoming more exposed to weather as more renewable generation is built. This means access to high-quality weather forecasts is becoming more important. This paper showcases past forecasts of electricity demand and wind power and solar power generation across 28 European countries. The timescale of interest is from 5 d out to 1 month ahead. This paper highlights the recent improvements in forecast skill and hopes to promote collaboration in the energy–meteorology community.
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