Articles | Volume 16, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3471-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3471-2024
Data description paper
 | 
31 Jul 2024
Data description paper |  | 31 Jul 2024

Probabilistic reconstruction of sea-level changes and their causes since 1900

Sönke Dangendorf, Qiang Sun, Thomas Wahl, Philip Thompson, Jerry X. Mitrovica, and Ben Hamlington

Related authors

Generating Boundary Conditions for Compound Flood Modeling in a Probabilistic Framework
Pravin Maduwantha, Thomas Wahl, Sara Santamaria-Aguilar, Robert Jane, Sönke Dangendorf, Hanbeen Kim, and Gabriele Villarini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1557,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1557, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).
Short summary
Reconstruction of hourly coastal water levels and counterfactuals without sea level rise for impact attribution
Simon Treu, Sanne Muis, Sönke Dangendorf, Thomas Wahl, Julius Oelsmann, Stefanie Heinicke, Katja Frieler, and Matthias Mengel
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 16, 1121–1136, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-1121-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-1121-2024, 2024
Short summary
Improving statistical projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change using pattern recognition techniques
Víctor Malagón-Santos, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Tim H. J. Hermans, Sönke Dangendorf, Marta Marcos, and Nicola Maher
Ocean Sci., 19, 499–515, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-499-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-499-2023, 2023
Short summary

Related subject area

Domain: ESSD – Ocean | Subject: Physical oceanography
The International Altimetry Service 2024 (IAS2024) coastal sea level dataset and first evaluations
Fukai Peng, Xiaoli Deng, Yunzhong Shen, and Xiao Cheng
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 1441–1460, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-1441-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-1441-2025, 2025
Short summary
Global ocean surface heat fluxes derived from the maximum entropy production framework accounting for ocean heat storage and Bowen ratio adjustments
Yong Yang, Huaiwei Sun, Jingfeng Wang, Wenxin Zhang, Gang Zhao, Weiguang Wang, Lei Cheng, Lu Chen, Hui Qin, and Zhanzhang Cai
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 1191–1216, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-1191-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-1191-2025, 2025
Short summary
A European database of resources on coastal storm impacts
Paola Emilia Souto-Ceccon, Juan Montes, Enrico Duo, Paolo Ciavola, Tomás Fernández-Montblanc, and Clara Armaroli
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 1041–1054, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-1041-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-1041-2025, 2025
Short summary
Multi-year observations of near-bed hydrodynamics and suspended sediment at the core of the estuarine turbidity maximum of the Changjiang Estuary
Zaiyang Zhou, Jianzhong Ge, Dirk Sebastiaan van Maren, Hualong Luan, Wenyun Guo, Jianfei Ma, Yingjia Tao, Peng Xu, Fuhai Dao, Wanlun Yang, Keteng Ke, Shenyang Shi, Jingting Zhang, Yu Kuai, Cheng Li, Jinghua Gu, and Pingxing Ding
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 917–935, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-917-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-917-2025, 2025
Short summary
Surface current variability in the East Australian Current from long-term high-frequency radar observations
Manh Cuong Tran, Moninya Roughan, and Amandine Schaeffer
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 937–963, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-937-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-937-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Ablain, M., Cazenave, A., Larnicol, G., Balmaseda, M., Cipollini, P., Faugère, Y., Fernandes, M. J., Henry, O., Johannessen, J. A., Knudsen, P., Andersen, O., Legeais, J., Meyssignac, B., Picot, N., Roca, M., Rudenko, S., Scharffenberg, M. G., Stammer, D., Timms, G., and Benveniste, J.: Improved sea level record over the satellite altimetry era (1993–2010) from the Climate Change Initiative project, Ocean Sci., 11, 67–82, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-11-67-2015, 2015. 
Adhikari, S., Ivins, E. R., Frederikse, T., Landerer, F. W., and Caron, L.: Sea-level fingerprints emergent from GRACE mission data, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 11, 629–646, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-629-2019, 2019. 
Albert, S., Leon, J. X., Grinham, A. R., Church, J. A., Gibbes, B. R., and Woodroffe, C. D.: Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands, Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 054011, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054011, 2016. 
Arns, A., Wahl, T., Dangendorf, S., and Jensen, J. J. C. E.: The impact of sea level rise on storm surge water levels in the northern part of the German Bight, Coast. Eng., 96, 118–131, 2015. 
Bamber, J. L., Westaway, R. M., Marzeion, B., and Wouters, B.: The land ice contribution to sea level during the satellite era, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 063008, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac2f0, 2018. 
Download
Short summary
Sea-level information from the global ocean is sparse in time and space, with comprehensive data being limited to the period since 2005. Here we provide a novel reconstruction of sea level and its contributing causes, as determined by a Kalman smoother approach applied to tide gauge records over the period 1900–2021. The new reconstruction shows a continuing acceleration in global mean sea-level rise since 1970 that is dominated by melting land ice. Contributors vary significantly by region.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint