the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
National CO2 budgets (2015–2020) inferred from atmospheric CO2 observations in support of the global stocktake
Brendan Byrne
David F. Baker
Sourish Basu
Michael Bertolacci
Kevin W. Bowman
Dustin Carroll
Abhishek Chatterjee
Frédéric Chevallier
Philippe Ciais
Noel Cressie
David Crisp
Sean Crowell
Feng Deng
Nicholas M. Deutscher
Manvendra K. Dubey
Omaira E. García
David W. T. Griffith
Benedikt Herkommer
Andrew R. Jacobson
Rajesh Janardanan
Sujong Jeong
Matthew S. Johnson
Dylan B. A. Jones
Rigel Kivi
Junjie Liu
Zhiqiang Liu
Shamil Maksyutov
John B. Miller
Scot M. Miller
Isamu Morino
Justus Notholt
Tomohiro Oda
Christopher W. O'Dell
Young-Suk Oh
Hirofumi Ohyama
Prabir K. Patra
Hélène Peiro
Christof Petri
Sajeev Philip
David F. Pollard
Benjamin Poulter
Marine Remaud
Andrew Schuh
Mahesh K. Sha
Kei Shiomi
Kimberly Strong
Colm Sweeney
Hanqin Tian
Voltaire A. Velazco
Mihalis Vrekoussis
Thorsten Warneke
John R. Worden
Debra Wunch
Yuanzhi Yao
Jeongmin Yun
Andrew Zammit-Mangion
Ning Zeng
Download
- Final revised paper (published on 07 Mar 2023)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 12 Jul 2022)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
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RC1: 'Comment on essd-2022-213', Anonymous Referee #1, 17 Oct 2022
General comments
Since this study is aimed at “informing countries’ carbon budgets”, as stated in the abstract, I am missing a bit a section on how the carbon stock changes defined in this study compare to what is required by the UNFCC for national reporting. Moreover, this study calculates the Net Biosphere Exchange (NBE) from the inversions and then adjusts this using the terms for crop and wood trade as well as river export to derive changes in terrestrial carbon stock. The UNFCCC guidelines on reporting also correct carbon stocks for carbon losses due to harvest. For wood, the guidelines include consideration of the turn-over rate of wood products, since many wood products have lifetimes of decades to centuries. For crop, the turn-over time is generally much shorter, order of annual, thus I would think that this term should have little affect on carbon stock changes.
Specific comments
L135: Add a reference for the N-fertilization effect
L209: Concerning Eq. 2, why is the carbon in crop harvest considered in the change of carbon stocks, since crop harvest is only a relatively short-term stock of carbon (turn-over on annual time scales) since this will most be consumed or used for fuel?
Section 2: How does the carbon stock definition compare to what is required by UNFCCC (see also the general comment)? Also, are the turn-over times of wood products considered in calculating changes in carbon stock?
Eq. 4: May be there is some confusion on my side, but to correct the IQR to standard deviation (SD), I would think one would need to divide by ~1.47, since the IQR includes 50% of the values while one SD includes 34%. Or where does the value of 1.35 come from?
L358: What is the reasoning for assuming 30% uncertainty on the crop and wood exchange fluxes?
L415: Please change “data-model” to “observation-model” if that is what is meant since “data” can be either modelled or observed (also L419). Also, this sentence is a bit ambiguous, do the authors mean that the difference for the OG experiments is more negative in the evaluation data sets compared to experiments?
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-213-RC1 -
AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Brendan Byrne, 24 Nov 2022
The comment was uploaded in the form of a supplement: https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2022-213/essd-2022-213-AC1-supplement.pdf
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AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Brendan Byrne, 24 Nov 2022
The comment was uploaded in the form of a supplement: https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2022-213/essd-2022-213-AC2-supplement.pdf
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AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Brendan Byrne, 24 Nov 2022
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RC2: 'Comment on essd-2022-213', Anonymous Referee #2, 18 Oct 2022
General comments:
The authors put together a comprehensive analysis and study on atmospheric CO2 observations, aimed in informing countries’ C budgets. The use of atmospheric observations (and OCO-2 MIP outputs in this case) is useful and greatly needed in the view of future CO2M development and in the context of the Paris Agreement global reduction targets. The authors mention often the Paris Agreement and its GST but nowhere in this study UNFCCC reported estimates are presented. Do these atmospheric observations agree or not with the NGHGIs, or better say complement them? How do OCO-2 MIP observations could/will be used for the “informing” purpose? I would highly recommend a section dedicated to this.
Specific comments:
Introduction: The first three paragraphs contain text widely used in previous studies, references are needed, e.g. VERIFY H2020 project and references therein
Line 27: The 5 sectors specified by the IPCC 2006 guidelines are: Energy, IPPU, Agriculture, LULUCF and Waste. The AFOLU (Agriculture + LULUCF) is defined in the 2019 Refinement to the 2006 Guidelines and IPCC ARs reports. However, in their NGHGIs, countries report separate the two sectors.
Line 30: “quantified and understood” please reference
Line 40: I would not use “verification system” but complementing, informing..
Line 60: “several previous studies “ how about European BU vs TD studies? Ciais et al., add RECCAP2, as well as Grassi et al., 2022 preprint informing on consistent comparison for the land-se fluxes
Line 64: explain CAMS
Line 90: comma (,) before Including
Lines 94-95: The first two sentences don’t read well, rephrase please
Figure 1 caption: I think number 2 should be moved to forests/logs, to the reservoir itself (under GPP), same as its done for agriculture and water, now its on the urban areas. Add (BB) after biomass burning.
Line 157: can add examples for DGVMs priors
Line 187 Section 2: a table summarizing all data sources for all lateral fluxes and not only would be of great help.
Line 190: can reference (Fig. 1) after ocean
Line 195: Reco already explained (L116)
Line 219: Please mention EU27
Line 328: add “including ‘those’ from”...
Line 249: not clear to which network they belong to. In situ collection is referenced as Masarie et al., 2014, perhaps add this ref to the Abstract where you mention first in situ. It appears late in the text (line 185)
Line 276, Eq 4: what does 1.35 stands for?
Line 322: reference DLEM
Line 326: please explain DIC, DOC and POC
Line 358: can you please explain why 30%?
Line 491: FUR already explained in Fig. 7 caption, then in 5.2, then again here
Line 538: How about future CO2M mission, what do authors recommend for estimating fluxes at smaller scale (regions, cities etc.)
Line 721: perhaps worth mentioning RECCAP2 initiative. I think this paragraph should be in the Introduction
Line 807: agree with improving sub-national and sub-annual estimates of lateral fluxes, however its not the aim of the NGHGIs.
Line 811: can use ‘GST’
Line 817: “We recommend that each party provide a mask” very well thought and optimistic, however very hard to achieve, countries do not invest in it as it’s not really required by guidelines, however several newly EU funded projects might look into it for some key countries.
Line 824: FUR ok, how about the distribution of the observation network?
Line 838: a bit more text on how this analysis should inform GSTs and countries’ budgets is needed (as for the moment GST is designed for country NGHGIs only), and, as mentioned in the beginning, the UNFCCC and country reported data is missing in this study.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-213-RC2 -
AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Brendan Byrne, 24 Nov 2022
The comment was uploaded in the form of a supplement: https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2022-213/essd-2022-213-AC2-supplement.pdf
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AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Brendan Byrne, 24 Nov 2022