Articles | Volume 15, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2533-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2533-2023
Data description paper
 | 
21 Jun 2023
Data description paper |  | 21 Jun 2023

The UKSCAPE-G2G river flow and soil moisture datasets: Grid-to-Grid model estimates for the UK for historical and potential future climates

Alison L. Kay, Victoria A. Bell, Helen N. Davies, Rosanna A. Lane, and Alison C. Rudd

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Cited articles

Arnell, N. W., Charlton, M. B., and Lowe, J. A.: The effect of climate policy on the impacts of climate change on river flows in the UK, J. Hydrol., 510, 424–435, 2014. 
Bell, V. A., Kay, A. L., Jones, R. G., and Moore, R. J.: Development of a high resolution grid-based river flow model for use with regional climate model output, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 532–549, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-11-532-2007, 2007. 
Bell, V. A., Kay, A. L., Jones, R. G., Moore, R. J., and Reynard, N. S.: Use of soil data in a grid-based hydrological model to estimate spatial variation in changing flood risk across the UK, J. Hydrol., 377, 335–350, 2009. 
Bell, V. A., Kay, A. L., Davies, H. N., and Jones, R. G.: An assessment of the possible impacts of climate change on snow and peak river flows across Britain, Clim. Change, 136, 539–553, 2016. 
Bell, V. A., Rudd, A. C., Kay, A. L., and Davies, H. N.: Grid-to-Grid model estimates of monthly mean flow and soil moisture for Great Britain (1960 to 2015): observed driving data [MaRIUS-G2G-MORECS-monthly], NERC Environmental Information Data Centre [data set], https://doi.org/10.5285/e911196a-b371-47b1-968c-661eb600d83b, 2018a. 
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Short summary
Climate change will affect the water cycle, including river flows and soil moisture. We have used both observational data (1980–2011) and the latest UK climate projections (1980–2080) to drive a national-scale grid-based hydrological model. The data, covering Great Britain and Northern Ireland, suggest potential future decreases in summer flows, low flows, and summer/autumn soil moisture, and possible future increases in winter and high flows. Society must plan how to adapt to such impacts.
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