Articles | Volume 18, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-8037-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-8037-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
State of Wildfires 2025–2026
Chantelle A. Burton
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
Francesca Di Giuseppe
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecast, Shinfield Park, Reading RG29AX, UK
Matthew W. Jones
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA), Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich Research Park, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK
now at: School of Geography, Earth, and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, United Kingdom
Water and Climate Science, UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UK
Maria L. F. Barbosa
Water and Climate Science, UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UK
Joe McNorton
European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecast, Shinfield Park, Reading RG29AX, UK
Bob Potts
Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
Carlota Segura-Garcia
School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA), Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich Research Park, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK
John T. Abatzoglou
School of Engineering, University of California, Merced, 5200 N Lake Rd, Merced, CA 95343, USA
Iulian Alin Rosu
School of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Climate Change, Kounoupidiana, Chania 73100, Greece
Niels Andela
BeZero Carbon Ltd, 25 Christopher Street, London, EC2A 2BS, UK
Liana O. Anderson
Earth Observation and Geoinformatics Division, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Astronautas Avenue 1758, São José dos Campos, 12227-010, Brazil
Sally Archibald
School of Animal Plant and Environmental Sciences, University of Witwatersrand Johannesburg, Wits Science StadiumWest Campus, 9 Enoch Sontonga Ave, Braamfontein, Johannesburg, 2017, South Africa
Esther Brambleby
School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA), Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich Research Park, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK
Emilio Chuvieco
Department of Geology, Geography and Environment, Universidad de Alcalá, Environmental Remote Sensing Research Group, Calle Colegios 2, Alcalá de Henares 28801, Spain
Andrew Ciavarella
Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
Hamish Clarke
FLARE Wildfire Research, School of Agriculture, Food and Ecosystem Sciences, University of Melbourne, Grattan St, Parkville, 3010, Australia
Francisco de la Barrera
Department of Territorial Planning and Urban Systems, Faculty of Environmental Sciences and EULA-Chile Center for Environmental Sciences, Universidad de Concepcion, Concepcion, Chile
Carlos M. Di Bella
Departamento de Métodos Cuantitativos y Sistemas de Información, University of Buenos Aires, Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura (UBA/CONICET), Av. San Martin 4453 (1417), CABA, Argentina
Enza Di Tomaso
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Robert-Schuman-Platz 3, 53175 Bonn, Germany
Kebonye Dintwe
Department of Environmental Science, University of Botswana, Plot 4775 Notwane Rd, Gaborone, Botswana
Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
Tim S. Doherty
Fire Science Program, Western Australian Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and Attractions, Kings Park, Perth, 6005, Australia
Victoria M. Donovan
West Florida Research and Education Center, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida, 5988 Highway 90, Milton, FL 32583, USA
Jonathan M. Eden
Centre for Agroecology, Water and Resilience, Coventry University, Wolston Ln, Ryton-on-Dunsmore, Coventry CV8 3LG, UK
Paulo M. Fernandes
Centre for the Research and Technology of Agro-Environmental and Biological Sciences and CoLAB ForestWISE, University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro, Quinta de Prados, Vila Real, 5000-801, Portugal
Lukas Fiedler
Earth and Society Research Hub (ESRAH), University of Hamburg, Bundesstraße 57, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
IMPRS-ESM, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Louis Giglio
Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Olivia Haas
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE), Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, CEA-Orme des Merisiers, Point Courrier 129F-91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
Douglas S. Hamilton
Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Science, North Carolina State University, 2800 Faucette Drive, Raleigh, NC 27603, USA
Stijn Hantson
School of Sciences and Engineering, Universidad del Rosario, Calle 12C No. 6-25, Bogota, Colombia
Sarah Harris
Fire Risk, Research and Community Preparedness, Country Fire Authority, Burwood East, Victoria, Australia
Andrew J. Hartley
Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
Theo Keeping
Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, Weeks Building, 16–18 Prince's Gardens, London SW7 1NE, UK
Crystal A. Kolden
School of Engineering, University of California, Merced, 5200 N Lake Rd, Merced, CA 95343, USA
Jean-Luc Kouassi
UMRI Sciences Agronomiques et Procédés de Transformation, Institut National Polytechnique Félix Houphouët-Boigny, BP 1093 Yamoussoukro, Côte d'Ivoire
Elena Kukavskaya
Laboratory of Experimental and Applied Ecology, V.N. Sukachev Institute of Forest Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences – separate subdivision of the FRC KSC SB RAS, 50/28 Akademgorodok, Krasnoyarsk, 660036, Russian Federation
Seppe Lampe
Water & Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussel, Belgium
Zhongwei Liu
National Centre for Earth Observation, Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Leicester, Space Park Leicester, 92 Corporation Road, Space City, Leicester, LE4 5SP, UK
Guilherme Mataveli
Earth Observation and Geoinformatics Division, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Astronautas Avenue 1758, São José dos Campos, 12227-010, Brazil
Sarah Meier
Department of Management, Technology and Economics, ETH Zürich, Energy and Climate Economics, Zürichbergstrasse 18, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Duarte Oom
Forests and Climate, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00153 Rome, Italy
Mark Parrington
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Robert-Schuman-Platz 3, 53175 Bonn, Germany
Yuquan Qu
Faculty of Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1100, Amsterdam, 1081 HV, the Netherlands
Victor Resco de Dios
Department of Forest and Agricultural Science and Engineering, University of Lleida, 25003 Lleida, Spain
Julien Ruffault
Unité de recherche Écologie des Forêts Méditerranéennes (URFM), Institut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'alimentation et l'Environnement (INRAE), 228 route de l'Aérodrome, Avignon, 84914, France
Mojtaba Sadegh
Civil Engineering, Boise State University, College of Engineering, 1910 University Drive, Boise, ID 83725-2060, USA
Cristina Santín
Biodiversity Research Institute (IMIB), CSIC-University of Oviedo-Principality of Asturias, Research Building, Mieres Campus, Mieres, 33600, Spain
Fernando Sedano
Disaster Risk Management Unit (E.1), Directorate E (Space, Security, and Migration), European Commission Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Rue du Champ de Mars 21, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
Jacquelyn K. Shuman
Science and Innovation, Environmental Defense Fund, 2060 Broadway, Suite 300, Boulder, CO 80302, USA
Patrícia S. Silva
School of the Environment, Yale University, 195 Prospect St, New Haven, CT 06511, USA
Fiona R. Spuler
ScaDS.AI Leipzig (Center for Scalable Data Analytics and Artificial Intelligence), University of Leipzig, Humboldtstraße 25, 04105 Leipzig, Germany
Carmen B. Steinmann
Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, Universitätstrasse 22, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Veerachai Tanpipat
Forestry Research Center, Faculty of Forestry, Kasetsart University, Upper ASEAN Wildland Fire Special Research Unit (WFSRU), 50 Ngamwongwan Rd, Lat Yao, Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900, Thailand
Miguel Ángel Torres-Vazquez
Department of Geology, Geography and Environment, Universidad de Alcalá, Environmental Remote Sensing Research Group, Calle Colegios 2, Alcalá de Henares 28801, Spain
Marco Turco
Department of Physics, University of Murcia, Regional Atmospheric Modelling (MAR) Group, Regional Campus of International Excellence Campus Mare Nostrum (CEIR), C. Campus Universitario, 11, 30100 Murcia, Spain
Guido R. van der Werf
Meteorology and Air Quality, Wageningen University and Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3-3 A, 6708 PB, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Dave van Wees
BeZero Carbon Ltd, 25 Christopher Street, London, EC2A 2BS, UK
Sander Veraverbeke
Faculty of Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1100, Amsterdam, 1081 HV, the Netherlands
Jakob B. Wessel
Institute for Meteorology, University of Leipzig, Stephanstraße 3, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, University Town of Shenzhen, Shenzhen, 518055, China
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Editorial statement
State of Wildfires 2025–2026: A Quiet Global Fire Year, Devastating Regional Extremes
Despite global burned area and fire carbon emissions falling 18% and 20–31% below historical averages, respectively, devastating wildfire extremes affected Canada, Europe, and South America. The State of Wildfires 2025–2026 report combines satellite observations, climate attribution, and future projections to reveal how climate change amplifies regional wildfire risks, providing critical insights for preparedness, adaptation, and mitigation.
State of Wildfires 2025–2026: A Quiet Global Fire Year, Devastating Regional...
Short summary
The third State of Wildfires report examines extreme wildfire events from 2025 to early 2026. It analyses key regional events in Midwestern Canadian Shield Forests, Northwest Iberia, and Chilean Temperate Forests and Matorral, assessing their impacts, drivers, and attributing them to climate change. Climate change greatly increased the likelihood of these fires, and without strong mitigation, such events will become more frequent.
The third State of Wildfires report examines extreme wildfire events from 2025 to early 2026. It...
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