the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Energy-related CO2 emission accounts and datasets for 40 emerging economies in 2010–2019
Shuping Li
Weichen Zhao
Binyuan Liu
Yuli Shan
Dabo Guan
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- Final revised paper (published on 22 Mar 2023)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 13 Dec 2022)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
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RC1: 'Comment on essd-2022-385', Anonymous Referee #1, 06 Jan 2023
The study of Cui et al. provided a detailed national and subnational energy-related CO2 emission dataset for 40 emerging economies whose emissions are much understudied than other large emitters. One key feature of this dataset is that it includes emissions from biomass combustion which might be a significant emission source for those economies. The data collection, data analysis, and interpretation are done in a good manner. I only have some minor comments.
Intro section: authors should list some examples of energy-related emission sources.
Line 37: “the single” or “any single”?
Line 72: first time showing ‘CEAD’, add what it stands for.
Line 103: change ‘6.2-8.8’ to ‘6.2 to 8.8’
Section 2.1.3: there are 47 sectors and 17 merged sectors in Supplemental Information. Authors should clarify which was used for analysis. Also, what if a sector from a national statistics overlaps with multiple sectors that are used in this study, how was that treated? For example, if a national report only has mining as a category, how is that broken down into coal mining and mineral mining?
Line 173: ‘CEIJ’ should be ‘CEiJ’
Table S6: to better visualize the difference between inventories, authors can consider making a map similar to Figure 2 showing the difference in emission estimates between inventories.
Line 322: need more details on how Monte Carlo simulation was done, in method section
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-385-RC1 -
AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Can Cui, 22 Feb 2023
We appreciate your valuable advice. Here are our point-to-point replies and revisions based on your comments.
Intro section: authors should list some examples of energy-related emission sources.
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have added the description of energy-related emissions as follows:
Among them, energy-related CO2 emissions account for the largest proportion of total CO2 emissions, amounting to 33.6 Gt globally in 2019, which represents over 90% of the total CO2 emissions (International Energy Agency, 2022), including emissions from energy combustion via industrial production, residential heating and cooking, transportation, et al.
References:
International Energy Agency: World CO2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion, 2022.
Line 37: “the single” or “any single”?
Reply:
Thank you for your correction. We have revised the sentence as follows:
Although any single emerging economy (excluding China and India) contributed less than 2% of annual global emissions during this period, their collective emissions (i.e. of 99 country’s economies) grew faster than the global average of 2.3% per year.
Line 72: first time showing ‘CEAD’, add what it stands for.
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have revised the sentence as follows:
Here, to fill this gap, we present the Carbon Emission Accounts and Datasets for emerging economies (CEADs, https://ceads.net), which aims to provide transparent, verifiable, open-access data on the CO2 emissions of 40 emerging economies (accounting for 17.5% of the emissions and 12.9% of GDP of the world) for the period 2010-2019.
Line 103: change ‘6.2-8.8’ to ‘6.2 to 8.8’
Reply:
Thank you for your correction. We have revised the sentence as follows:
From 2010-2019, the collective emissions raised from 6.2 to 8.8 Gt, and we noted a continuous surge in emissions growth of 4.0% on average annually.
Section 2.1.3: there are 47 sectors and 17 merged sectors in Supplemental Information. Authors should clarify which was used for analysis. Also, what if a sector from a national statistics overlaps with multiple sectors that are used in this study, how was that treated? For example, if a national report only has mining as a category, how is that broken down into coal mining and mineral mining?
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have revised the related sections as follows:
Myanmar's CO2 emissions from sectoral and energy sources provides an insightful example for identifying solutions and strategies to mitigate emissions in emerging economies (for the sake of convenience, the emissions of 17 merged sectors analysed here); emissions data from other institutes, including IEA, EDGAR and GCB, are included for purposes of comparison (for other emerging economies, see Table S10 and Figure S2 in Supplemental Information).
Since the energy consumption statistics from each of the 40 emerging economies vary in terms of sectors represented, we standardized the sectors into 47, based on the sector definitions of the countries. Using sector-mapping indicators, we then distributed emissions among the 47 sectors (see Table S4 in Supplemental Information). The indicators included sectoral data on energy consumption, production, outputs and employment, among other categories, and they are comparable among similar sectors. When it comes to metal production, both ferrous and nonferrous metals are classified under the same raw sector. Therefore, it is imperative to use a consistent mapping indicator to differentiate between the two sectors. One potential solution is to use the product of each metal production and its corresponding average energy intensity as the sector-mapping indicator to distinguish the ferrous and nonferrous metal sectors. In case energy intensity data is not available, economic indicators such as value added can be utilized to aid the process.
However, for sectors that are not associated with a single raw sector, the sector-mapping indicators can differ. For instance, employment data could serve as the sector-mapping indicator for service sectors. On the other hand, when allocating emissions from the residential sector into urban and rural sectors, the sector-mapping indicator can be based on the urban and rural population rather than production or economic indicators as is the case with manufacturing sectors.
The priority order for sector-mapping indicators data is as follows: energy consumption data, energy intensity data, value added data, output data, employment data, and population data. The indicators are collected from national statistical institutes, national economic reports, industrial reports and continental and regional statistics. (Detailed data sources are listed by country in Table S1 in Supplemental Information.)
Line 173: ‘CEIJ’ should be ‘CEiJ’
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have revised the sentence as follows:
where CEiJ is the CO2 emissions from the activity type i (such as the energy type for energy-related emissions accounting, industrial process type for process-related emissions accounting, etc.) from sector J.
Table S6: to better visualize the difference between inventories, authors can consider making a map similar to Figure 2 showing the difference in emission estimates between inventories.
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have added a supplemental figure (Figure S2 in Supplemental Information) to show the different results of each dataset. Please see the Supplement.
Line 322: need more details on how Monte Carlo simulation was done, in method section.
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have added the process of Monte Carlo simulation in the Method section, and provided more details in the Table S7-S9 and Figure S1 Supplemental Information (Please see Supplement). Below are the revisions in the main text:
2.2.4 Uncertainty analysis
Incomplete or inaccurate data collection can lead to uncertainty in both activity volume data and emission factor data, which in turn affects the accuracy of emissions accounting. To address this issue, Monte Carlo simulation is utilized in this study to evaluate the uncertainty of emissions accounting. The simulation process includes three steps:
1) Determine the probability distributions of activity volume and emission factor data in developing countries. As statistical data and energy types vary among different countries in developing countries, this study determines the activity volume data distribution by 17 sectors and 5 energy types on a national level. The probability distribution of activity level data is set based on the quality of certain data sources and corresponding uncertainty ranges recommended in the IPCC National Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidelines (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2006). The probability distribution of emission factor data is obtained by simulating the distribution of emission factors for corresponding energy types and categories from each country. Detailed uncertainty information of activity volume and emissions factor data are described in Table S7-S9 and Figure S1 in Supplemental Information.
2) Randomly sample from the activity level and emission factor distributions obtained in step 1 and calculate the corresponding CO2 emissions for each category based on the formula.
3) Repeat step 2 for 20,000 simulations to obtain the distribution of CO2 emissions for different categories and the total emissions, as well as the corresponding uncertainty statistics.
Reference:
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): IPCC Guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES), Hayama, Japan, 2006.
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AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Can Cui, 22 Feb 2023
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RC2: 'Comment on essd-2022-385', Anonymous Referee #2, 21 Feb 2023
General Comments:
This study provides a detailed energy-related CO2 emission dataset for 40 emerging economies whose emissions are largely ignored in the previous studies. This is a relatively standard data set and manuscript. I have some minor comments.
- I suggest that the reference should not be included in the abstract.
- Some data are presented as national and others are subnational, which need to be further distinguished and explained.
- There are some format problems in many references. The author should check the full text carefully.
- Why choose Myanmar as the case study area. Data and regional representativeness need to be emphasized.
- There should be more details on how Monte Carlo works in manuscript.
- There should be more explanations and descriptions on how the emissions are allocated to economic sectors.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-385-RC2 -
AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Can Cui, 22 Feb 2023
We appreciate your valuable advice. Here are our point-to-point replies and revisions based on your comments.
- I suggest that the reference should not be included in the abstract.
Reply:
Thank you for your comment. We noticed that the journal ESSD requires the citation of the dataset (https://www.earth-system-science-data.net/submission.html), so we kept the citation in the abstract.
Abstract: the abstract should be intelligible to the general reader without reference to the text. After a brief introduction of the topic, the summary recapitulates the key points of the article and mentions possible directions for prospective research. Reference citations should not be included in this section (except for data sets) and abbreviations should not be included without explanations. At least for the final accepted publication, a functional data set DOI and its in-text citation must be given in the abstract. If multiple data set DOIs are necessary, please instead refer to the data availability section.
- Some data are presented as national and others are subnational, which need to be further distinguished and explained.
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have added the description of our dataset in the main text and Supplemental Information (for Table S3 please see Supplement):
The emissions dataset covers 47 economic sectors and 8 major energy categories in the 40 emergent economies, and in 28 of these we provided a subnational inventory. The 40 countries are selected based on economic development stages, geographic locations, and data availability (for details, see Table S3 in Supplemental Information).
Currently, this dataset covers 40 countries of year 2010-2019 (see Table S 3), in which 28 countries have subnational inventory.
- There are some format problems in many references. The author should check the full text carefully.
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have checked and corrected the references.
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- Why choose Myanmar as the case study area. Data and regional representativeness need to be emphasized.
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have added the representativeness of Myanmar as the case study area as follows:
Myanmar, located in Southeast Asia, has experienced remarkable economic growth in recent years. However, this growth has led to a significant increase in greenhouse gas emissions, making it one of the fastest-growing emitters of CO2 in the world. Unsustainable biomass fuels, accounting for over 50% of the country's energy needs, contribute to high emissions and deforestation. Myanmar's expanding industrial sector, including energy-intensive manufacturing, also adds to emissions. Balancing economic growth with environmental sustainability remains a challenge for emerging economies. Myanmar's CO2 emissions provide an insightful example for identifying solutions to emission reduction in emerging economies. Therefore, analysing Myanmar's CO2 emissions from sectoral and energy sources provides an insightful example for identifying solutions and strategies to mitigate emissions in emerging economies (for the sake of convenience, the emissions of 17 merged sectors analysed here); emissions data from other institutes, including IEA, EDGAR and GCB, are included for purposes of comparison (for other emerging economies, see Table S10 and Figure S2 in Supplemental Information).
- There should be more details on how Monte Carlo works in manuscript.
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have added the process of Monte Carlo simulation in the Method section, and provided more details in the Table S7-S9 and Figure S1 Supplemental Information (Please see Supplement). Below are the revisions in the main text:
2.2.4 Uncertainty analysis
Incomplete or inaccurate data collection can lead to uncertainty in both activity volume data and emission factor data, which in turn affects the accuracy of emissions accounting. To address this issue, Monte Carlo simulation is utilized in this study to evaluate the uncertainty of emissions accounting. The simulation process includes three steps:
1) Determine the probability distributions of activity volume and emission factor data in developing countries. As statistical data and energy types vary among different countries in developing countries, this study determines the activity volume data distribution by 17 sectors and 5 energy types on a national level. The probability distribution of activity level data is set based on the quality of certain data sources and corresponding uncertainty ranges recommended in the IPCC National Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidelines (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2006). The probability distribution of emission factor data is obtained by simulating the distribution of emission factors for corresponding energy types and categories from each country. Detailed uncertainty information of activity volume and emissions factor data are described in Table S7-S9 and Figure S1 in Supplemental Information.
2) Randomly sample from the activity level and emission factor distributions obtained in step 1 and calculate the corresponding CO2 emissions for each category based on the formula.
3) Repeat step 2 for 20,000 simulations to obtain the distribution of CO2 emissions for different categories and the total emissions, as well as the corresponding uncertainty statistics.
Reference:
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): IPCC Guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES), Hayama, Japan, 2006.
- There should be more explanations and descriptions on how the emissions are allocated to economic sectors.
Reply:
Thank you for your advice. We have revised the related sections as follows:
2.1.3 Sector-mapping indicators
Since the energy consumption statistics from each of the 40 emerging economies vary in terms of sectors represented, we standardized the sectors into 47, based on the sector definitions of the countries. Using sector-mapping indicators, we then distributed emissions among the 47 sectors (see Table S4 in Supplemental Information). The indicators included sectoral data on energy consumption, production, outputs and employment, among other categories, and they are comparable among similar sectors. When it comes to metal production, both ferrous and nonferrous metals are classified under the same raw sector. Therefore, it is imperative to use a consistent mapping indicator to differentiate between the two sectors. One potential solution is to use the product of each metal production and its corresponding average energy intensity as the sector-mapping indicator to distinguish the ferrous and nonferrous metal sectors. In case energy intensity data is not available, economic indicators such as value added can be utilized to aid the process.
However, for sectors that are not associated with a single raw sector, the sector-mapping indicators can differ. For instance, employment data could serve as the sector-mapping indicator for service sectors. On the other hand, when allocating emissions from the residential sector into urban and rural sectors, the sector-mapping indicator can be based on the urban and rural population rather than production or economic indicators as is the case with manufacturing sectors.
The priority order for sector-mapping indicators data is as follows: energy consumption data, energy intensity data, value added data, output data, employment data, and population data. The indicators are collected from national statistical institutes, national economic reports, industrial reports and continental and regional statistics. (Detailed data sources are listed by country in Table S1 in Supplemental Information.)
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AC3: 'Final Author Comments on essd-2022-385', Can Cui, 23 Feb 2023
We appreciate the valuable comments from two anonymous referees on our manuscript #ESSD-2022-385 titled "Energy-related CO2 Emission Accounts and Datasets for 40 Emerging Economies in 2010–2019". Our final author comments to the referees are attached as the Supplement.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-385-AC3 - AC4: 'Reply on AC3', Can Cui, 23 Feb 2023
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