Articles | Volume 15, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-1093-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-1093-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Harmonising the land-use flux estimates of global models and national inventories for 2000–2020
Giacomo Grassi
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Clemens Schwingshackl
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany
Thomas Gasser
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA),
Laxenburg, Austria
Richard A. Houghton
Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA, USA
Stephen Sitch
Department of Geography, College of Life and Environmental
Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Josep G. Canadell
Global Carbon Project, CSIRO Environment, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Alessandro Cescatti
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Philippe Ciais
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement CEA, CNRS,
UVSQ, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Sandro Federici
Institute for Global Environmental Strategies, Hayama, Japan
Pierre Friedlingstein
College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences,
University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique/Institut
Pierre-Simon Laplace, CNRS, Ecole Normale, Paris, France
Werner A. Kurz
Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Victoria,
British Columbia, Canada
Maria J. Sanz Sanchez
Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), Sede Building, 1, 1st
floor, Scientific Campus of the University of the Basque Country, 48940,
Leioa, Spain
Ikerbasque, Basque Science Foundation, María Díaz Haroko
Kalea, 3, 48013, Bilbao, Spain
Raúl Abad Viñas
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Ramdane Alkama
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Selma Bultan
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany
Guido Ceccherini
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Stefanie Falk
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany
Etsushi Kato
Institute of Applied Energy, Tokyo 105-0003, Japan
Daniel Kennedy
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Jürgen Knauer
Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney
University, Penrith, NSW, Australia
Anu Korosuo
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Joana Melo
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Matthew J. McGrath
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement CEA, CNRS,
UVSQ, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Julia E. M. S. Nabel
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Benjamin Poulter
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Biospheric Sciences Laboratory,
Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
Anna A. Romanovskaya
Yu. A. Izrael Institute of Global Climate and Ecology, Glebovskaya
20B, Moscow 107258, Russia
Simone Rossi
Arcadia SIT, contracted to Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Hanqin Tian
Schiller Institute for Integrated Science and
Society, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College,
Chestnut Hill, MA 02467, USA
Anthony P. Walker
Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science
Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, USA
Wenping Yuan
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai,
China
School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nanjing
University of Information Science & Technology (NUIST), Nanjing, 210044,
China
Julia Pongratz
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
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- Secure robust carbon dioxide removal policy through credible certification F. Schenuit et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01014-x
- Mind the gap: reconciling tropical forest carbon flux estimates from earth observation and national reporting requires transparency V. Heinrich et al. 10.1186/s13021-023-00240-2
- The importance of natural land carbon sinks in modelling future emissions pathways and assessing individual country progress towards net-zero emissions targets R. van der Ploeg & M. Haigh 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1379046
- Annual emissions of carbon from land use, land-use change, and forestry from 1850 to 2020 R. Houghton & A. Castanho 10.5194/essd-15-2025-2023
- Characterizing the Accelerated Global Carbon Emissions from Forest Loss during 1985–2020 Using Fine-Resolution Remote Sensing Datasets W. Liu et al. 10.3390/rs16060978
- Analysis of Quantitative Estimates of the Greenhouse Gases Net Flow in the Russian Land Use Sector O. Loktionov et al. 10.18412/1816-0395-2024-11-54-59
- Countries need to provide clarity on the role of carbon dioxide removal in their climate pledges W. Lamb et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad91c7
- Aligning climate scenarios to emissions inventories shifts global benchmarks M. Gidden et al. 10.1038/s41586-023-06724-y
- Balance of Anthropogenic and Natural Greenhouse Gas Fluxes of All Inland Ecosystems of the Russian Federation and the Contribution of Sequestration in Forests A. Romanovskaya & V. Korotkov 10.3390/f15040707
- Unaccountable counting: the folly of incorporating open ocean carbon sinks in Nationally Determined Contributions M. Berger et al. 10.5802/crgeos.271
- Human management has a crucial role in China’s land carbon balance 10.1038/s41561-024-01571-6
- Overconfidence in climate overshoot C. Schleussner et al. 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9
- High emissions or carbon neutral? Inclusion of “anthropogenic” forest sinks leads to underreporting of forestry emissions D. Bysouth et al. 10.3389/ffgc.2023.1297301
- A Comprehensive Assessment of Anthropogenic and Natural Sources and Sinks of Australasia's Carbon Budget Y. Villalobos et al. 10.1029/2023GB007845
- Pantropical CO2 emissions and removals for the AFOLU sector in the period 1990–2018 S. Nyawira et al. 10.1007/s11027-023-10096-z
- The carbon dioxide removal gap W. Lamb et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-01984-6
- Beyond fossil fuels: Considering land-based emissions reshapes the carbon intensity of modern economic growth (Spain, 1860–2017) J. Infante-Amate & E. Aguilera 10.1080/01615440.2024.2378799
- A consistent budgeting of terrestrial carbon fluxes L. Dorgeist et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-51126-x
- Country-level estimates of gross and net carbon fluxes from land use, land-use change and forestry W. Obermeier et al. 10.5194/essd-16-605-2024
- Over-reliance on land for carbon dioxide removal in net-zero climate pledges K. Dooley et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-53466-0
- Global spatially explicit carbon emissions from land-use change over the past six decades (1961–2020) Z. Qin et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.04.002
- Reporting carbon fluxes from unmanaged forest G. Nabuurs et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01005-y
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
Striking differences exist in estimates of land-use CO2 fluxes between the national greenhouse gas inventories and the IPCC assessment reports. These differences hamper an accurate assessment of the collective progress under the Paris Agreement. By implementing an approach that conceptually reconciles land-use CO2 flux from national inventories and the global models used by the IPCC, our study is an important step forward for increasing confidence in land-use CO2 flux estimates.
Striking differences exist in estimates of land-use CO2 fluxes between the national greenhouse...
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