Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-511
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-511
16 Oct 2025
 | 16 Oct 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

GSSM-10 (Global 10-m Surface Soil Moisture) Derived from Multi-Sensor Data and Ensemble Learning

Nuo Xu, Andre Daccache, and Arman Ahmadi

Abstract. Satellite-driven soil moisture monitoring systems currently available fail to meet the spatial resolution requirement for a wide range of applications. This limitation is particularly critical for agricultural water management, assessing risks associated with extreme events, and hydrological modeling. This work aims to address the spatial limitations of satellite soil moisture remote sensing by developing GSSM-10, a global 10-meter resolution surface soil moisture dataset, using multi-sensor datasets integrated within an ensemble machine learning framework. These datasets encompass diverse data types—active microwave, multispectral, thermal infrared, and land elevation—offering a robust and comprehensive approach to estimating surface soil moisture (SSM). The ensemble model incorporates TabNet, Random Forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). The model was trained on ground-truth data collected from the International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN). The ensemble model demonstrated robust performance, achieving an R² of 0.8344, a bias of –0.0001, an RMSE of 0.0433 m³/m³, and an ubRMSE of 0.0433 m³/m³ in 5-fold cross-validation. When evaluated on a held-out test set, the model achieved similar levels of accuracy, with an R² of 0.8591, a bias of –0.0002 m³/m³, and an RMSE/ubRMSE of 0.0401 m³/m³. An interactive web platform has been developed for data access, visualization, and download, enabling broad adoption by researchers, practitioners, and policymakers. By providing globally consistent, high-resolution SM estimates, GSSM-10 represents a significant advancement in satellite-based soil moisture monitoring for environmental and agricultural applications.

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Nuo Xu, Andre Daccache, and Arman Ahmadi

Status: open (until 22 Nov 2025)

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Nuo Xu, Andre Daccache, and Arman Ahmadi

Data sets

GSSM-10 (Global 10-m Surface Soil Moisture) Nuo Xu, Andre Daccache, and Arman Ahmadi https://github.com/RSNuo/Global-10-m-Surface-Soil-Moisture-Maps.git

Model code and software

Ensemble Learning (TabNet, Random forest, XGBoost) Nuo Xu, Andre Daccache, and Arman Ahmadi https://github.com/RSNuo/Global-10-m-Surface-Soil-Moisture-Maps.git

Interactive computing environment

Jupyter Notebooks Nuo Xu, Andre Daccache, and Arman Ahmadi https://github.com/RSNuo/Global-10-m-Surface-Soil-Moisture-Maps.git

Nuo Xu, Andre Daccache, and Arman Ahmadi
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Latest update: 16 Oct 2025
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Short summary
We developed the first global soil moisture maps at 10-meter resolution, allowing conditions to be viewed at the scale of individual fields. Current global maps are too coarse for farming, flood, or fire applications. By combining multiple satellite data with ground observations and advanced models, we created accurate maps for every available observation date since 2016. These maps enable new opportunities for water management, agriculture, and environmental protection.
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