Articles | Volume 18, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-6527-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Long-term temperature, oxygen and water clarity trends in Swiss lakes
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- Final revised paper (published on 08 Sep 2026)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 09 Mar 2026)
- Supplement to the preprint
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- RC1: 'Comment on essd-2026-142', Roland Psenner, 29 Mar 2026
- RC2: 'Comment on essd-2026-142', Anonymous Referee #2, 09 Apr 2026
- RC3: 'Comment on essd-2026-142', Anonymous Referee #3, 13 Apr 2026
- AC1: 'Comment on essd-2026-142', Fabian Bärenbold, 10 Jul 2026
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AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Fabian Bärenbold on behalf of the Authors (10 Jul 2026)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (22 Jul 2026) by Yue Qin
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (24 Jul 2026)
RR by Roland Psenner (28 Jul 2026)
ED: Publish as is (17 Aug 2026) by Yue Qin
AR by Fabian Bärenbold on behalf of the Authors (27 Aug 2026)
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Although many papers have been published about changes in lake characteristics depending on climate warming, eutrophication, oligotrophication and other (anthropogenic) drivers, the majority has focussed either on single lakes with long records or on – mostly iconic – large lakes with established data collections. In many cases, the focus was on temperature, ice cover and overturn events. Here, the authors have undertaken a huge work, first by scrolling through unpublished (handwritten?) records of Swiss commissions, cantonal offices and monitoring programs. Secondly, as different as the sources of these data are, considering sampling intervals, depth profiles and measured parameters (with their potential analytical errors) as helpful is the careful selection of parameters: which one is useful, how reliable are the measurements, how significant is the measured or calculated value (Schmidt stability, heat content, hypolimnetic volume …) to infer shifts in the lake’s characteristics. And, eventually, which common trends can be extracted from this comparison, and which ones are either counterintuitive or in contrast with observed trends.
Not surprisingly, surface temperatures are increasing in almost all lakes, and the inflection point in lakes with long-term records is around 1980, coinciding with almost all air and water temperature measurements in the Alps. It could be interesting for the authors to have a look at the paper of Niedrist et al. 2018 (Climate warming increases vertical and seasonal water temperature differences and inter-annual variability in a mountain lake. Climate change https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2328-6) who found warming trends only in certain months or seasons, a reversing of warming around 1995 and an unexplained increase in variability of temperatures and Schmidt stability. I imagine that it could be helpful to have a second look at their data.
I found Figure 4 (Theil-Sen regression slopes) quite interesting for it shows how differently the studied 21 lakes behave with respect to to surface and bottom temperatures. The values of heat content (Fig. 5) are normalized for the year 2000 in order to compare the curves of lakes of shorter time records, a clever idea for it allows to show also the changes in heat content of Lower Lake Zurich, Lake Zug, Lake Sempach and Greifensee going back to the 1950s, similarly also the shifts in Schmidt stability (Fig. 6). The summer thermocline depth (Fig. 7), although showing a slight trend to greater depths in some lakes, seems to oscillate in other lakes, thus indicating that there are individual drivers, obviously depending on air temperature, precipitation, inflow and wind.
The majority of lakes shows an increase in Secchi depth (Fig. 8) during the last ten years or so, others show and up and down or rather stable values, especially those lakes with already low transparency on the long run. The mean summer oxygen concentrations (Fig. 9) reflect – in my view – the wax and vane of eutrophication with increase until around the 1980s an a decrease thereafter. In contrast to these trends, the hypolimnetic oxygen concentration in autumn (Fig. 10) is more erratic, i.e., with little change over time, but with big differences (from 0 to 10 mg/L) between lakes.
I had some problems to understand Fig. 11, although the basic idea (projected oxygen recharge upon mixing) is clear. The authors might consider to use a different way to show the – positive and negative – excursions from the expected outcomes. Fig. 12 is more easy to understand and it shows the enormous difference between the 21 lakes, but here it might be advisable to use 4 colours instead of a combination of blue-red and plus-minus to present the results.
In the Conclusions the authors talk about decreasing phosphorus concentrations and their potential effect on water clarity. The re-oligotrophication, observed (or inferred) from oxygen concentrations and thermocline depths reminds me of a paper of Weniger & Sommaruga 2025 (Fifty-Year Trends Reveal Reversal from Recovery to Re-eutrophication and Reinforced Anoxia in a Managed Mountain Lake. Ecosystems https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-025-01003-5) who found, on the contrary, a consistent re-eutrophication around 1995 – notwithstanding a continuous decrease in phosphorus inputs. Weniger & Sommaruga attributed this to warming, so it might be interesting to consider this also for the 21 Swiss lakes.