Brown, S., Nicholls, R., Goodwin, P., Haigh, I., Lincke, D., Vafeidis, A., and Hinkel, J.: Quantifying Land and People Exposed to Sea-Level Rise with No Mitigation and 1.5
°C and 2.0
°C Rise in Global Temperatures to Year 2300, Earths Future, 6, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017ef000738, 2018.
Camus, P., Haigh, I. D., Nasr, A. A., Wahl, T., Darby, S. E., and Nicholls, R. J.: Regional analysis of multivariat
e compound coastal flooding potential around Europe and environs: sensitivity analysis and spatial patterns, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2021–2040, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2021-2021, 2021.
Carrère, L., Lyard, F., Cancet, M., Guillot, A., and Roblou, L.: FES 2012: a new global tidal model taking advantage of nearly 20 years of altimetry, in Proceedings of “20 Years of Progress in Radar Altimetry”, Venice, Italy, 26–29 September 2012, ISBN 978-92-9221-274-2, 2012.
Charnock, H.: Wind stress on a water surface, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 81, 639–640, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49708135027, 1955.
Couasnon, A., Eilander, D., Muis, S., Veldkamp, T. I. E., Haigh, I. D., Wahl, T., Winsemius, H. C., and Ward, P. J.: Measuring compound flood potential from river discharge and storm surge extremes at the global scale, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 489–504, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-489-2020, 2020.
Dulac, W., Cattiaux, J., Chauvin, F., Bourdin, S., and Fromang, S.: Assessing the representation of tropical cyclones in ERA5 with the CNRM tracker, Clim. Dynam., 62, 223–238, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06902-8, 2024.
Dullaart, J. C. M., Muis, S., Bloemendaal, N., and Aerts, J. C. J. H.: Advancing global storm surge modelling using the new ERA5 climate reanalysis, Clim. Dynam., 54, 1007–1021, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05044-0, 2020.
Eilander, D., Couasnon, A., Ikeuchi, H., Muis, S., Yamazaki, D., Winsemius, H. C., and Ward, P. J.: The effect of surge on riverine flood hazard and impact in deltas globally, Environ. Res. Lett., 15, 104007, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8ca6, 2020.
EMODnet Bathymetry Consortium: EMODnet Digital Bathymetry (DTM 2018), EMODnet Bathymetry Consortium [data set], https://doi.org/10.12770/18FF0D48-B203-4A65-94A9-5FD8B0EC35F6, 2018.
Enríquez, A. R., Wahl, T., Marcos, M., and Haigh, I. D.: Spatial Footprints of Storm Surges Along the Global Coastlines, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 125, e2020JC016367, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016367, 2020.
Fang, J., Sun, S., Shi, P., and Wang, J.: Assessment and Mapping of Potential Storm Surge Impacts on Global Population and Economy, Int. J. Disast. Risk Sc., 5, 323–331, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-014-0035-0, 2014.
Ghanavati, M., Young, I., Kirezci, E., Ranasinghe, R., Duong, T. M., and Luijendijk, A. P.: An assessment of whether long-term global changes in waves and storm surges have impacted global coastlines, Sci. Rep.-UK, 13, 11549, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38729-y, 2023.
Haigh, I. D., Marcos, M., Talke, S. A., Woodworth, P. L., Hunter, J. R., Hague, B. S., Arns, A., Bradshaw, E., and Thompson, P.: GESLA Version 3: A major update to the global higher-frequency sea-level dataset, Geosci. Data J., 10, 293–314, https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.174, 2023.
Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Biavati, G., Horanyi, A., Munoz Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Rozum, I., Schepers, D., Simmons, A., Soci, C., Dee, D., and Thepaut, J.-N.: ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present, Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS) [data set], https://doi.org/10.24381/CDS.ADBB2D47, 2023.
Hinkel, J., Lincke, D., Vafeidis, A., Perrette, M., Nicholls, R., Tol, R., Marzeion, B., Fettweis, X., Ionescu, C., and Levermann, A.: Coastal flood damage and adaptation cost under 21st century sea-level rise, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 111, 3292–3297, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222469111, 2014.
Hinkel, J., Feyen, L., Hemer, M., Le Cozannet, G., Lincke, D., Marcos, M., Mentaschi, L., Merkens, J., Moel, H., Muis, S., Nicholls, R., Vafeidis, A., Wal, R. S. W., Vousdoukas, M., Wahl, T., Ward, P., and Wolff, C.: Uncertainty and Bias in Global to Regional Scale Assessments of Current and Future Coastal Flood Risk, Earths Future, 9, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001882, 2021.
Hoyer, S. and Hamman, J.: xarray: N-D labeled Arrays and Datasets in Python, Journal of Open Research Software, 5, https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.148, 2017.
Ikeuchi, H., Hirabayashi, Y., Yamazaki, D., Muis, S., Ward, P. J., Winsemius, H. C., Verlaan, M., and Kanae, S.: Compound simulation of fluvial floods and storm surges in a global coupled river-coast flood model: Model development and its application to 2007 Cyclone Sidr in Bangladesh, J. Adv. Model. Earth Sy., 9, 1847–1862, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017MS000943, 2017.
IPCC: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., and Midgley, P. M., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107415324, 2013.
Kernkamp, H. W. J., Van Dam, A., Stelling, G. S., and De Goede, E. D.: Efficient scheme for the shallow water equations on unstructured grids with application to the Continental Shelf, Ocean Dynam., 61, 1175–1188, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-011-0423-6, 2011.
Kirezci, E., Young, I. R., Ranasinghe, R., Muis, S., Nicholls, R. J., Lincke, D., and Hinkel, J.: Projections of global-scale extreme sea levels and resulting episodic coastal flooding over the 21st Century, Sci. Rep.-UK, 10, 11629, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67736-6, 2020.
Koks, E. E., Le Bars, D., Essenfelder, A. H., Nirandjan, S., and Sayers, P.: The impacts of coastal flooding and sea level rise on critical infrastructure: a novel storyline approach, Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, 8, 237–261, https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2022.2142741, 2023.
Le Bars, D.: Uncertainty in Sea Level Rise Projections Due to the Dependence Between Contributors, Earths Future, 6, 1275–1291, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000849, 2018.
Li, H., Haer, T., Couasnon, A., Enríquez, A. R., Muis, S., and Ward, P. J.: A spatially-dependent synthetic global dataset of extreme sea level events, Weather and Climate Extremes, 41, 100596, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100596, 2023.
Lin, N. and Emanuel, K.: Grey swan tropical cyclones, Nat. Clim. Change, 6, 106–111, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2777, 2016.
Lincke, D. and Hinkel, J.: Economically robust protection against 21st century sea-level rise, Global Environ. Chang., 51, 67–73, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.05.003, 2018.
Lobeto, H. and Menendez, M.: Variability Assessment of Global Extreme Coastal Sea Levels Using Altimetry Data, Remote Sens.-Basel, 16, 1355. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16081355, 2024.
Menéndez, M. and Woodworth, P. L.: Changes in extreme high water levels based on a quasi-global tide-gauge data set, J. Geophys. Res., 115, 2009JC005997, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JC005997, 2010.
Muis, S., Verlaan, M., Winsemius, H. C., Aerts, J. C. J. H., and Ward, P. J.: A global reanalysis of storm surges and extreme sea levels, Nat. Commun., 7, 11969, https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11969, 2016.
Muis, S., Verlaan, M., Nicholls, R., Brown, S., Hinkel, J., Lincke, D., Vafeidis, A., Scussolini, P., Winsemius, H., and Ward, P.: A comparison of two global datasets of extreme sea levels and resulting flood exposure, Earths Future, 5, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000430, 2017.
Muis, S., Haigh, I. D., Guimarães Nobre, G., Aerts, J. C. J. H., and Ward, P. J.: Influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Global Coastal Flooding, Earths Future, 6, 1311–1322, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000909, 2018.
Muis, S., Irazoqui, M., Dullaart, J., Rego, J., Madsen, K., Su, J., Yan, K., and Verlaan, M.: A High-Resolution Global Dataset of Extreme Sea Levels, Tides, and Storm Surges, Including Future Projections, Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 263, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.00263, 2020.
Muis, S., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Antolínez, J. A. Á., Dullaart, J. C., Duong, T. M., Erikson, L., Haarsma, R. J., Apecechea, M. I., Mengel, M., Le Bars, D., O'Neill, A., Ranasinghe, R., Roberts, M. J., Verlaan, M., Ward, P. J., and Yan, K.: Global Projections of Storm Surges Using High-Resolution CMIP6 Climate Models, Earths Future, 11, e2023EF003479, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003479, 2023a.
Muis, S., Irazoqui Apecechea, M., Antolinez, J. A. Á., Verlaan, M., Yan, K., Dullaart, J., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Duong, T., Ranasinghe, R., Le Bars, D., Haarsma, R. J., and Roberts, M.: Global sea level change time series from 1950 to 2050 derived from reanalysis and high resolution CMIP6 climate projections, https://doi.org/10.24381/CDS.A6D42D60, 2025a.
Muis, S., Aleksandrova, N., Veenstra, J., and Gwee, R.: GTSM-ERA5-E dataset – Data underlying the paper “Global dataset of storm surges and extreme sea levels for 1950–2024 based on the ERA5 climate reanalysis”, Zenodo [data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.14671593, 2025b.
Nasr, A. A., Wahl, T., Rashid, M. M., Camus, P., and Haigh, I. D.: Assessing the dependence structure between oceanographic, fluvial, and pluvial flooding drivers along the United States coastline, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 6203–6222, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6203-2021, 2021.
Reimann, L., Vafeidis, A. T., Brown, S., Hinkel, J., and Tol, R. S. J.: Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise, Nat. Commun., 9, 4161, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06645-9, 2018.
Ridder, N. N., Pitman, A. J., Westra, S., Ukkola, A., Do, H. X., Bador, M., Hirsch, A. L., Evans, J. P., Di Luca, A., and Zscheischler, J.: Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events, Nat. Commun., 11, 5956, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19639-3, 2020.
Stolte, W., Baart, F., Muis, S., Hijma, M., Taal, M., Le Bars, D., and Drijfhout, S.: Zeespiegelmonitor 2022, Report, Deltares,
https://open.rijkswaterstaat.nl/@261752/zeespiegelmonitor-2022/ (last access: 22 July 2026), 2023.
Tadesse, M. G., Wahl, T., Rashid, M. M., Dangendorf, S., Rodríguez-Enríquez, A., and Talke, S. A.: Long-term trends in storm surge climate derived from an ensemble of global surge reconstructions, Sci. Rep.-UK, 12, 13307, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-17099-x, 2022.
Tiggeloven, T., de Moel, H., Winsemius, H. C., Eilander, D., Erkens, G., Gebremedhin, E., Diaz Loaiza, A., Kuzma, S., Luo, T., Iceland, C., Bouwman, A., van Huijstee, J., Ligtvoet, W., and Ward, P. J.: Global-scale benefit–cost analysis of coastal flood adaptation to different flood risk drivers using structural measures, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 1025–1044, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1025-2020, 2020.
Treu, S., Muis, S., Dangendorf, S., Wahl, T., Oelsmann, J., Heinicke, S., Frieler, K., and Mengel, M.: Reconstruction of hourly coastal water levels and counterfactuals without sea level rise for impact attribution, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 16, 1121–1136, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-1121-2024, 2024.
Veenstra, J.: Hatyan: Tidal Analysis and Prediction. Version v2.14.0, Zenodo [code], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19236057, 2026.
Verschuur, J., Koks, E. E., Li, S., and Hall, J. W.: Multi-hazard risk to global port infrastructure and resulting trade and logistics losses, Commun. Earth Environ., 4, 5, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00656-7, 2023.
Wahl, T., Haigh, I. D., Nicholls, R. J., Arns, A., Dangendorf, S., Hinkel, J., and Slangen, A. B. A.: Understanding extreme sea levels for broad-scale coastal impact and adaptation analysis, Nat. Commun., 8, 16075, https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms16075, 2017.
Weatherall, P., Marks, K. M., Jakobsson, M., Schmitt, T., Tani, S., Arndt, J. E., Rovere, M., Chayes, D., Ferrini, V., and Wigley, R.: A new digital bathymetric model of the world's oceans, Earth and Space Science, 2, 331–345, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015EA000107, 2015.
Woodworth, P. L., Melet, A., Marcos, M., Ray, R. D., Wöppelmann, G., Sasaki, Y. N., Cirano, M., Hibbert, A., Huthnance, J. M., Monserrat, S., and Merrifield, M. A.: Forcing Factors Affecting Sea Level Changes at the Coast, Surv. Geophys., 40, 1351–1397, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09531-1, 2019.