Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-735
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-735
14 Sep 2026
 | 14 Sep 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

A global coastal tide model from multi-mission and wide-swath altimetry: GOAT-1C

Thomas C. Monahan and Michael G. Hart-Davis

Abstract. A new global coastal tide model for non-polar regions is presented: GOAT-1C. The GOAT-1C atlas makes use of an admittance-based empirical tide estimation approach to infer residual coastal tidal variability omitted by the FES2022 tidal atlas from a combination of OpenADB nadir altimetry and, for the first time, wide-swath observations from the Surface Water and Ocean Topography mission. This approach builds on the Global Operator-based Admittance Tidal process framework (GOAT) which treats the global oceanic tidal response as a continuous function that can be learned using a DeepONet neural operator. The model shows improved performance in coastal regions in terms of variance reduction, tide gauges, and shoreline imagery relative to FES2022. Independent SWOT Cal/Val validation indicates that approximately 1 % of coastal sea-level variance attributable to tidal-model error is associated with spatial structure resolved only at kilometre scales. Furthermore, using an ensemble approach, we provide per-constituent uncertainty estimates which allow users to understand where the product should be used and how much to trust it. Inclusion of wide-swath observations improves fine-scale corrections but must be handled with care. The final model and uncertainty estimates are released on a 4 km coastal grid.

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Thomas C. Monahan and Michael G. Hart-Davis

Status: open (until 21 Oct 2026)

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Thomas C. Monahan and Michael G. Hart-Davis
Thomas C. Monahan and Michael G. Hart-Davis
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Short summary
GOAT-1C is a global coastal tide model operating on a 4 km grid across non-polar regions. Driven by DeepONet neural operators, it learns continuous spatial admittances to refine residual errors in the FES2022 prior model. The atlas blends 30 years of nadir altimetry with wide-swath SWOT observations. Validation against tide gauges, held-out altimetry, and shoreline imagery confirms improved coastal accuracy alongside per-constituent uncertainty estimates.
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