Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-618
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-618
11 Nov 2025
 | 11 Nov 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

Climate Modes evaluation datasets from CMIP6 pre-industrial control simulations and observations

Sandeep Mohapatra, Alex Sen Gupta, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, and Yuxuan Lyu

Abstract. Internal climate variability encompasses processes ranging from daily weather fluctuations to multidecadal interactions within the climate system. A large component of internal variability on sub-seasonal to multi-decadal time scales is associated with recurring patterns or “climate modes”. In this study we provide an openly available dataset of eight major climate modes: Eastern Pacific El Niño (EP-El Niño), Central Pacific El Niño (CP-El Niño), Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), Subsurface Dipole Mode (SDM), Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and Southern Annular Mode (SAM). These modes were derived from 23 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models, each with over 500 years of simulation data, ensuring robust statistical insights into their spatial and temporal structures. The datasets were validated against observational data, revealing broad-scale consistency and highlighting biases in regional features and amplitudes. However, regional discrepancies, like exaggerated warming or cooling in specific areas, were found. Despite these limitations, the datasets provide an important resource for understanding climate variability, conducting detection and attribution studies, and improving climate projections. All datasets are publicly accessible (Mohapatra et al. 2025; https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17337105), supporting future research and policy development to address climate variability and its implications for climate change adaptation and mitigation.

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Sandeep Mohapatra, Alex Sen Gupta, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, and Yuxuan Lyu

Status: open (until 18 Dec 2025)

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Sandeep Mohapatra, Alex Sen Gupta, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, and Yuxuan Lyu

Data sets

Climate Mode Datasets and Generating Codes from CMIP6 Pre-Industrial Control Simulations and Observations Sandeep Mohapatra, Alex Sen Gupta, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, Yuxuan Lyu https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17337105

Sandeep Mohapatra, Alex Sen Gupta, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, and Yuxuan Lyu
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Latest update: 11 Nov 2025
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Short summary
This study provides a new open-access datasets that capture how natural climate patterns shape the global climate. The datasets are built from climate model simulations and observations, allowing researcher to see how well models reproduce natural climate behaviour. Our openly available datasets will help researchers to better distinguish natural climate variability from human-caused changes. These resources also provide a foundation for improving climate models and long-term projections.
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