Articles | Volume 15, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2153-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2153-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Data description article
| 
30 May 2023
Data description article |
| 30 May 2023
| 30 May 2023
Fire weather index data under historical and shared socioeconomic pathway projections in the 6th phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project from 1850 to 2100
Yann Quilcaille
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Fulden Batibeniz
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Andreia F. S. Ribeiro
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Ryan S. Padrón
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Sonia I. Seneviratne
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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Cited
41 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Future projection of fire danger under global emission scenarios in Sumatra, Indonesia A. Latifah et al.
- Climate-driven emergence of fire danger in South America under global warming F. Forgioni et al.
- Fingerprint of anthropogenic climate change detected in long-term western North American fire weather trends L. Queen et al.
- The effect of wildfires on flood risk: a multi-hazard flood risk approach for the Ebro River basin, Spain S. Sutanto et al.
- Developing user-informed fire weather projections for Canada L. Van Vliet et al.
- Wildfire risk for species under climate change X. Yang et al.
- Concurrent increases in winter precipitation and summer wildfire risk in a warming Alaska J. Lee et al.
- The emerging human fingerprint on global extreme fire weather M. Turco et al.
- Climate change strongly affects future fire weather danger in Indian forests A. Barik & S. Baidya Roy
- Compounding preconditions of wildfires vary in time and space within Europe J. Miller et al.
- Global Fire Season Types and Their Characteristics Based on MODIS Burned Area Data W. Zhang et al.
- Global wildfire patterns and drivers under climate change H. Bhattarai et al.
- XGBoost-Based Susceptibility Model Exhibits High Accuracy and Robustness in Plateau Forest Fire Prediction C. Yang et al.
- The critical role of soil moisture in compound hazards C. Li et al.
- Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information P. Pfleiderer et al.
- Human-induced climate change intensifies spatially compounding fire weather extremes across European countries E. Gauthier & E. Bevacqua
- CMIP7 data request: Earth system priorities and opportunities M. McPartland et al.
- Downscaled CMIP5 projections of physical fire risk understate historical trends T. Avila et al.
- Responses of extreme fire weather to CO 2 emission reductions and underlying mechanisms Y. Kim et al.
- Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture Y. Quilcaille et al.
- 70 Years of observational weather data show increasing fire danger for boreal Europe and reveal bias of ERA5 reanalysed data J. Sjöström et al.
- Climate mitigation outcomes from China-led emission reductions toward global carbon neutrality Y. Lei et al.
- Projected fire weather intensification across the Mediterranean: implications for management and restoration C. Gallo et al.
- Hysteretic response of Western North American fire weather to CO₂ removal T. Wei et al.
- Identifying source of predictability for vapor pressure deficit variability in the southwestern United States J. Lou et al.
- Challenges in assessing Fire Weather changes in a warming climate A. Matteo et al.
- Optimizing global forest burned area simulations: Multi-earth system model assessment, Bayesian model averaging synthesis, and climate drivers X. Wang & Z. Di
- Major fires in Indonesian Borneo are possible under all ENSO phases T. Lam et al.
- Evaluation and Projection of Global Burned Area Based on Global Climate Models and Satellite Fire Product X. Wang et al.
- Climate model large ensembles as test beds for applied compound event research F. Lehner
- Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes S. Feng et al.
- Relevance of earth observations of essential climate variables in wildfire adaptation S. Seitzinger et al.
- The fire weather in Europe: large-scale trends towards higher danger J. Hetzer et al.
- Assessing decadal changes in human exposure near wildfires in a Mediterranean region M. Torres-Vázquez et al.
- Joining forces to fight wildfires: Science and management in a protected area of Pantanal, Brazil P. Silva et al.
- Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes E. Bevacqua et al.
- Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways F. Jäger et al.
- Climate change has increased the odds of extreme regional forest fire years globally J. Abatzoglou et al.
- Validation of an automated end-to-end system for satellite-based wildfire detection in Sweden A. Dybbroe et al.
- Large increase in extreme fire weather synchronicity over Europe M. Torres-Vázquez et al.
- Sustainable development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages Y. Hwong et al.
41 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Future projection of fire danger under global emission scenarios in Sumatra, Indonesia A. Latifah et al.
- Climate-driven emergence of fire danger in South America under global warming F. Forgioni et al.
- Fingerprint of anthropogenic climate change detected in long-term western North American fire weather trends L. Queen et al.
- The effect of wildfires on flood risk: a multi-hazard flood risk approach for the Ebro River basin, Spain S. Sutanto et al.
- Developing user-informed fire weather projections for Canada L. Van Vliet et al.
- Wildfire risk for species under climate change X. Yang et al.
- Concurrent increases in winter precipitation and summer wildfire risk in a warming Alaska J. Lee et al.
- The emerging human fingerprint on global extreme fire weather M. Turco et al.
- Climate change strongly affects future fire weather danger in Indian forests A. Barik & S. Baidya Roy
- Compounding preconditions of wildfires vary in time and space within Europe J. Miller et al.
- Global Fire Season Types and Their Characteristics Based on MODIS Burned Area Data W. Zhang et al.
- Global wildfire patterns and drivers under climate change H. Bhattarai et al.
- XGBoost-Based Susceptibility Model Exhibits High Accuracy and Robustness in Plateau Forest Fire Prediction C. Yang et al.
- The critical role of soil moisture in compound hazards C. Li et al.
- Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information P. Pfleiderer et al.
- Human-induced climate change intensifies spatially compounding fire weather extremes across European countries E. Gauthier & E. Bevacqua
- CMIP7 data request: Earth system priorities and opportunities M. McPartland et al.
- Downscaled CMIP5 projections of physical fire risk understate historical trends T. Avila et al.
- Responses of extreme fire weather to CO 2 emission reductions and underlying mechanisms Y. Kim et al.
- Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture Y. Quilcaille et al.
- 70 Years of observational weather data show increasing fire danger for boreal Europe and reveal bias of ERA5 reanalysed data J. Sjöström et al.
- Climate mitigation outcomes from China-led emission reductions toward global carbon neutrality Y. Lei et al.
- Projected fire weather intensification across the Mediterranean: implications for management and restoration C. Gallo et al.
- Hysteretic response of Western North American fire weather to CO₂ removal T. Wei et al.
- Identifying source of predictability for vapor pressure deficit variability in the southwestern United States J. Lou et al.
- Challenges in assessing Fire Weather changes in a warming climate A. Matteo et al.
- Optimizing global forest burned area simulations: Multi-earth system model assessment, Bayesian model averaging synthesis, and climate drivers X. Wang & Z. Di
- Major fires in Indonesian Borneo are possible under all ENSO phases T. Lam et al.
- Evaluation and Projection of Global Burned Area Based on Global Climate Models and Satellite Fire Product X. Wang et al.
- Climate model large ensembles as test beds for applied compound event research F. Lehner
- Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes S. Feng et al.
- Relevance of earth observations of essential climate variables in wildfire adaptation S. Seitzinger et al.
- The fire weather in Europe: large-scale trends towards higher danger J. Hetzer et al.
- Assessing decadal changes in human exposure near wildfires in a Mediterranean region M. Torres-Vázquez et al.
- Joining forces to fight wildfires: Science and management in a protected area of Pantanal, Brazil P. Silva et al.
- Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes E. Bevacqua et al.
- Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways F. Jäger et al.
- Climate change has increased the odds of extreme regional forest fire years globally J. Abatzoglou et al.
- Validation of an automated end-to-end system for satellite-based wildfire detection in Sweden A. Dybbroe et al.
- Large increase in extreme fire weather synchronicity over Europe M. Torres-Vázquez et al.
- Sustainable development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages Y. Hwong et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 11 May 2026
Short summary
We present a new database of four annual fire weather indicators over 1850–2100 and over all land areas. In a 3°C warmer world with respect to preindustrial times, the mean fire weather would increase on average by at least 66% in both intensity and duration and even triple for 1-in-10-year events. The dataset is a freely available resource for fire danger studies and beyond, highlighting that the best course of action would require limiting global warming as much as possible.
We present a new database of four annual fire weather indicators over 1850–2100 and over all...
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