Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-581
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-581
28 Oct 2026
 | 28 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

A Sentinel-2 semantic segmentation dataset for thermokarst-associated lake and pond water surfaces in Arctic permafrost lowlands

Ze Zhang, Ziyou Guo, Qingkai Yan, Jinbang Zhai, Leonid Gagarin, Nikolai Torgovkin, and Andrei Zhang

Abstract. Lake and pond water surfaces in thermokarst-affected Arctic permafrost lowlands are important for hydrological, habitat, and carbon-cycle studies. Existing inland-water products rarely provide georeferenced image-mask pairs designed for supervised segmentation of small Arctic water bodies. We present a Sentinel-2 semantic segmentation dataset for thermokarst-associated lake and pond water surfaces across 23 selected permafrost-lowland areas of interest (AOIs) spanning Alaska, northwestern Canada, European Russia, Yamal, and Siberia. The supervised target is visible summer lake and pond water, while separate tile-level fields record thermokarst relevance and non-target-water risk. The dataset contains 5513 image-mask pairs derived from summer 2023 Sentinel-2 Level-2A surface-reflectance composites. Each image is a 256 by 256 pixel GeoTIFF with five bands (B2, B3, B4, B8, and B11), accompanied by a binary water mask and a quality-assurance (QA) mask for invalid observations and ambiguous margins. The train, validation, and test splits contain 3982, 739, and 792 tiles, respectively. The masks contain 29,141,595 positive pixels, representing 8.07 % of all pixels and a pixel-count-equivalent area of approximately 2914.2 km2; 88.35 % of target-water pixels lie north of or on the Arctic Circle at 66°34′ N. The package includes 16539 image, water-mask and QA GeoTIFF files, with sample metadata, source records, processing settings, split definitions and a 150-tile low-water subset index. A geometry audit identified cross-split overlap in the legacy development split and in the original Mackenzie Delta holdout. After removing overlapping and nearby development samples and retraining with QA-aware loss, the Mackenzie Delta experiment reached a target-agreement intersection-over-union (IoU) of 0.659 (spatial-cluster bootstrap interval 0.587–0.728). The Yamal and European Russia holdout had no detected test–development footprint overlap and retained its previously reported target-agreement IoU of 0.936. These values measure agreement with the released supervision targets; independent human-reference accuracy remains to be established. The release is designed for supervised segmentation and controlled model comparison within the represented 2023 Arctic permafrost-lowland settings. The dataset is available from the National Cryosphere Desert Data Center at https://doi.org/10.12072/ncdc.permafrost.db7645.2026 (Guo, 2026). The accompanying model-output dataset is available on Zenodo at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22965055 (Zhang et al., 2026).

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Ze Zhang, Ziyou Guo, Qingkai Yan, Jinbang Zhai, Leonid Gagarin, Nikolai Torgovkin, and Andrei Zhang

Status: open (until 04 Dec 2026)

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Ze Zhang, Ziyou Guo, Qingkai Yan, Jinbang Zhai, Leonid Gagarin, Nikolai Torgovkin, and Andrei Zhang

Data sets

10 m Sentinel-2 Semantic Segmentation Dataset for Thermokarst-Associated Lake and Pond Water Surfaces in Arctic Permafrost Lowlands (2023) Ze Zhang https://www.ncdc.ac.cn/portal/metadata/af618102-22ef-4618-b1a8-66d55a360fd9?lang=en

U-Net geographic-holdout predictions for Arctic lake and pond water surfaces from Sentinel-2 imagery (2023) Ze Zhang https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22965055

Model code and software

Processing and baseline code for the Arctic lake and pond segmentation dataset Ze Zhang https://www.ncdc.ac.cn/portal/metadata/af618102-22ef-4618-b1a8-66d55a360fd9?lang=en

Ze Zhang, Ziyou Guo, Qingkai Yan, Jinbang Zhai, Leonid Gagarin, Nikolai Torgovkin, and Andrei Zhang
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Latest update: 28 Oct 2026
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Short summary
We assembled 5513 satellite image and water-map pairs from 23 Arctic lowland areas to support lake and pond mapping. The collection includes quality information, processing records and computer code. Tests in geographically separated areas and comparisons with an existing water product help users assess model performance and limitations. The data support the development and comparison of methods for mapping northern water bodies.
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