Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-530
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-530
12 Aug 2026
 | 12 Aug 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

4-D Aviation Emission Inventory Data of China Estimated with QAR Data in 2023 (4D-AEID-2023)

Binbin Lu, Lingkun Shi, Chun Wang, Huabo Sun, Qinli Guo, Xinbo Wang, and Xuhui Wang

Abstract. Accurate aviation emission inventories are essential for environmental impact assessment and mitigation, yet existing estimates predominantly rely on aircraft performance models and standardized assumptions, introducing significant uncertainties. Here, we present a high-resolution, four-dimensional aviation emission inventory for China's civil aviation sector in 2023, built directly from Quick Access Recorder (QAR) data covering 4.52 million flights (~96.8 % of national commercial movements). By coupling second-level fuel-flow measurements with observed flight-state and meteorological parameters via the Boeing Fuel Flow Method 2 and a dynamic thermodynamic correction, this dataset yields temporally and spatially explicit emission estimates for CO₂, NOₓ, SO₂, PM, CO, and HC across all flight phases. In 2023, China's civil aviation consumed 28.4 Mt of fuel, emitting 89.3 Mt CO₂, 634.6 kt NOₓ, 28.4 kt SO₂, 8.46 kt PM, 44.3 kt CO, and 6.35 kt HC. Monte Carlo analysis demonstrates that direct physical observations substantially constrain inventory uncertainty, reducing coefficients of variation (CV) for major pollutants to 2 %–10 % and shifting the dominant error source from activity-level assumptions to emission index parameterizations. High temporal resolution reveals pronounced phase-specific variations: taxiing accounts for 23.7 % of HC and 19.4 % of CO emissions due to low-thrust incomplete combustion, while the brief high-thrust acceleration segment preceding climb contributes 18.0 % of total PM. Spatially, emissions are highly concentrated, with the top 10 % of grid cells accounting for 74.2 % of national CO₂ emissions, exhibiting significant clustering (Global Moran's I = 0.3389, p < 0.05) along major corridors. Providing second-level and high resolution, this dataset serves as an observation-based benchmark for refining existing inventories and assessing near-airport air quality. The dataset is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20828076 (Lu et al., 2026).

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
Share
Binbin Lu, Lingkun Shi, Chun Wang, Huabo Sun, Qinli Guo, Xinbo Wang, and Xuhui Wang

Status: open (until 18 Sep 2026)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Binbin Lu, Lingkun Shi, Chun Wang, Huabo Sun, Qinli Guo, Xinbo Wang, and Xuhui Wang

Data sets

High-Resolution Gridded Aviation Emission Inventory for China (2023) B. Lu et al. https://zenodo.org/records/20828076

Binbin Lu, Lingkun Shi, Chun Wang, Huabo Sun, Qinli Guo, Xinbo Wang, and Xuhui Wang
Metrics will be available soon.
Latest update: 12 Aug 2026
Download
Short summary
Airplane emissions are usually estimated, not measured. We used flight data recorders from 4.52 million Chinese flights in 2023 to track real fuel burn and pollution, second by second. Aviation in China burned 28.4 million tonnes of fuel, emitting 89.3 million tonnes of CO2 unevenly: just 10 % of flight paths produce 74 % of emissions, and brief ground idling causes disproportionate pollution. This precise map helps target routes and airport operations where emission cuts matter most.
Share
Altmetrics