GEM-Forest: A Global satellite EMbedding–based map of forests and tree crops for 2020
Abstract. The advent of big data in Earth observation, coupled with recent advances in Artificial Intelligence, has led to the development of geospatial embeddings. These compact, information-rich feature vectors are designed for direct use in machine learning (ML) applications across a wide range of downstream tasks, such as forest monitoring. Motivated by the limitations of existing global forest products and policy requirements like the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), we (1) evaluate whether lightweight classifiers applied to satellite embeddings from the Google DeepMind Alpha Earth Foundation (AEF) can accurately map global forest and tree crop extents, and (2) we introduce the resulting GEM-Forest dataset. GEM-Forest is a global satellite embedding–based dataset at 10 m spatial resolution for 2020 that provides a consistent classification across three classes: forest, non-forest, and tree crops. Our comparison of multiple ML approaches ranging from linear models to neural networks showed similar performance across classifiers, while linear models often outperformed more complex models. This consistency indicates that the embeddings encode highly informative and linearly separable structures for global forest discrimination, which includes tree crop separation. Based on these findings, a linear Support Vector Machine was used to generate the final GEM-Forest dataset, which outperformed eight existing global forest, tree cover, or land cover maps on two global validation datasets, while it placed second on the JRC’s global forest validation dataset. Across all three datasets, the forest class achieved omission errors of 12–18 % and commission errors of 16–21 %, with overall accuracies from 88 % to 92 %. Misclassifications of tree crops as forests varied between 0.5 % and 14.8 %, with a producer’s accuracy above 85 % for most tree crop datasets, whereas the classification of European tree crops remains the most challenging. Globally, GEM-Forest maps 3,919 million hectares (Mha) of forest for 2020, representing a 5.9 % underestimation relative to FAO reports. This variance is partly attributed to the exclusion of unstocked forest areas from our forest definition, discrepancies in country-based forest definitions, and misclassification errors that occurred primarily within open forests and forest–shrubland transition zones. Overall, these results demonstrate that satellite embeddings combined with simple ML approaches support highly accurate, computationally efficient global forest and tree crop mapping. The open-access release of the GEM-Forest dataset and its ML model weights (both available in Paluba et al., 2026; DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18921586) can support international policy decisions and allows direct and straightforward temporal transferability for other years.
Dear Dr. Paluba and co-authors,
I am currently a PhD student working on plantation and natural forest mapping, and my doctoral research is closely related to your study. I recently came across your GEM-Forest preprint and was particularly interested in your application of AlphaEarth Foundations (AEF) satellite embeddings to global forest and tree crop mapping.
As part of my dissertation, I have also developed a preliminary 2017-2024 plantation and natural forest map covering the pan-tropical region (30°N–30°S), using AEF embeddings and regionally trained Random Forest classifiers. I am also working on reconstructing historical plantation distributions and changes from 2000 onwards.
When visually comparing your results with our maps, I noticed that agricultural tree crop plantations may be underrepresented in parts of mainland Southeast Asia, South America and tropical Africa, particularly in some plantation-dominated landscapes. These are preliminary observations rather than conclusions supported by a systematic accuracy assessment.
I recognize that our plantation class includes both forestry plantations and agricultural tree crops, whereas GEM-Forest treats these categories differently. Therefore, a direct comparison would first require harmonizing the class definitions. Nevertheless, I think it would be useful to further examine possible omission errors for agricultural plantations in these regions.
I would also like to suggest considering the Spatial Database of Planted Trees (SDPT v2.0) developed by the World Resources Institute. This dataset includes spatial information on both planted forests and agricultural tree crops, including oil palm, rubber, and timber plantations such as eucalyptus and acacia. Although its spatial completeness and reference years vary, I believe it could provide valuable supplementary training information or an additional reference for regional validation.
I would be particularly interested in your views on two questions:
Have you assessed potential regional omission errors for agricultural tree crops in mainland Southeast Asia, South America and tropical Africa, especially in heterogeneous or smallholder plantation landscapes?
Would incorporating SDPT v2.0, particularly its tree crop polygons, be useful for improving the classification or conducting additional regional validation?
I have produced corresponding maps for the pan-tropical region and more detailed annual plantation and natural forest maps for mainland Southeast Asia. If you think these results would be useful for further comparison or validation, please feel free to reply to this comment. I would be happy to share the complete raster datasets and the complete SDPT V2.0 data with you by email.
I hope these observations and datasets may contribute to further improvements of GEM-Forest.
Best regards,
Rui Cheng
15884411724@163.com
PhD Candidate
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences