the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
A first 90 m resolution active layer moisture dataset across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau permafrost region
Abstract. Active layer moisture (ALM) plays a fundamental role in regulating the hydrothermal dynamics, freeze–thaw processes, carbon cycling, and ecosystem and load-bearing functions of permafrost. However, spatially continuous, high-resolution datasets that characterize soil moisture across the entire active layer remain largely unavailable for the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP), which hosts the largest low- to mid-latitude permafrost region globally. Here, we present the first 90 m resolution, spatially complete dataset of ALM – the depth-averaged volumetric water content of the entire active layer – for the entire permafrost region of the QTP. The dataset was produced by integrating 342 in situ samples collected during peak-thaw seasons from 2009 to 2024 with multi-source remote sensing environmental predictors, topographic factors, and soil physicochemical properties. Four ensemble machine learning models, include Random Forest, Extra Trees, XGBoost, and CatBoost, were trained, and a bias-aware multi-model fusion strategy was applied to generate the final ALM product. SHAP-based recursive feature elimination was used to identify the dominant environmental controls and optimize feature selection. Random five-fold cross-validation showed high apparent accuracy (R² =0.62–0.63, RMSE ≈ 0.08 m³ m⁻³), and a group-based spatial cross-validation provided a conservative transferability estimate (pooled R² = 0.30–0.38). Within the permafrost region, ALM ranges from 0.02 to 0.70 m³ m⁻³, with a mean of 0.21 m³ m⁻³ and a standard deviation of 0.09 m³ m⁻³, exhibiting a distinct southeast-to-northwest decreasing gradient. The dataset is freely available with DOI: https://doi.org/10.12072/ncdc.permafrost.db7312.2026. The dataset is accompanied by an area-of-applicability (AOA) mask delineating the region – approximately 60 % of the permafrost region – where the cross-validated performance can be expected to hold, together with per-pixel uncertainty estimates derived from the DI–RMSE relationship and the divergence among the four models.
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Status: open (until 09 Oct 2026)
- CC1: 'Comment on essd-2026-330', Dongliang Luo, 07 Sep 2026 reply
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- 1
This manuscript presents a spatially continuous, 90 m resolution dataset of peak-thaw season active layer moisture (ALM) across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) permafrost domain. By synthesizing 342 in situ observations (drill/pit core sampling and GPR surveys) with multi-source remote sensing, soil properties, and terrain factors, the authors trained four ensemble learning models and implemented a bias-aware multi-model fusion framework. Rigorous spatial validation and an Area of Applicability (AOA) analysis are provided alongside per-pixel uncertainty estimates. The dataset addresses an important gap in cold-regions science by moving beyond shallow skin-layer satellite soil moisture to characterize the column-integrated active layer state. The data and scripts are archived openly and comply with the standards of Earth System Science Data. The manuscript is well structured, but several minor points regarding physical interpretation, the multi-model fusion scheme, and text formatting require attention prior to publication.
1. The feature importance analysis reveals that surface-sensitive remote sensing indices contribute 58%–69% of the predictive weight across models. While this reflects strong surface–subsurface hydrothermal coupling on the plateau, the authors should briefly acknowledge scenarios where decoupling occurs—such as deep active layers (>2–3 m) with coarse surface layers overlying perched water tables (supra-permafrost groundwater) or thick organic mats, where surface signals might have weaker sensitivity to bottom-layer moisture dynamics.
2. Given that in situ samples were pooled from 2009 to 2024 while remote sensing predictors were compiled as 2014–2024 composites, the resulting product is explicitly a long-term climatological representation of the annual maximum thaw state (September–October). Ensure this distinction is consistently highlighted in the Abstract and User Guidance to avoid users misinterpreting the product as a time-slice snapshot of any single year.
3. Because the four-model intersection AOA covers ~60% of the permafrost domain, approximately 40% of the region represents an environmental extrapolation. The authors have handled this commendably by publishing the companion AOA and expected-RMSE layers. A sentence should be added to the Data Availability section reminding users to apply the AOA mask when reliable empirical bounds are required.
4. Line 254: Remove the placeholder "...ChinaMet 0.01° (approximately 1 km) gridded dataset of annual Penman-Monteith PET (petPM; citation to be added) for 2009-2024" and supply the missing citation.
5. Line 322: Correct the typo in sample size: "G4_Peripheral (Tarim + Hexi + Salween R., n=2?)".
6. Figure 11: The axes for both panels currently display raw grid row/column counts. Please replace these with projected coordinates (km) or geographic coordinates (°E/°N) to match the other maps in the paper.
7. Figures 1 & 9: Ensure consistent typography for river and lake labels across maps (e.g., standardizing spaces in “Bangong Co”, “Yibug Caka”, and checking “Brhmaputra R.” for spelling).