Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-313
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-313
29 Jun 2026
 | 29 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

The Standardized Soil Moisture-Temperature Compound Index (SSTCI): Daily scale global data set and event catalogue for compound dry–hot extremes (1961–2023)

Rukhshinda Aftab, Daniel Fiifi Tawia Hagan, Guojie Wang, Baoying Shan, Syed Husnain Shah, Zhou Chensi, Wei Xikun, Fareeha Siddique, Ali Hasan Jaffry, and Emmanuel Yeboah

Abstract. Compound dry–hot extremes (CDHEs) are among the most damaging climate hazards. Most metrics used to diagnose them are estimated at monthly or seasonal resolution or rely on precipitation-based drought proxies that can miss fast soil moisture-driven land–atmosphere feedbacks. This paper delivers two tightly linked products for global CDHE monitoring over land (excluding Antarctica) at 0.1° resolution for 1961–2023: (i) a continuous, daily severity index, i.e. the Standardized Soil Moisture–Temperature Compound Index (SSTCI), and (ii) a companion, event-based CDHE catalogue derived from SSTCI.

SSTCI is constructed by first quantifying grid specific soil moisture memory using dry-down events, fitting an exponential decay to estimate a characteristic dry-down timescale (τ). This memory is used to compute a Standardized Antecedent Soil Moisture Index (SASMI), which is paired with a daily Standardized Temperature Index (STI). SASMI and STI are then integrated using a Frank copula to represent their joint probability, which is transformed to a standardized normal variate to yield SSTCI, providing a spatially comparable daily measure of compound dry–hot stress.

To move from daily index values to physically interpretable hazards, we apply removal–merging refinement to threshold based SSTCI spells, minimizing fragmented detection and producing a coherent event catalogue with event timing and magnitude descriptors suitable for event-based statistics. Our evaluation shows broad agreement between SASMI (SSTCI) and established drought (compound) metrics and vegetation stress. Moreover, SSTCI captures the timing and evolution of well documented CDHEs across multiple regions and timescales when applied to case studies. Together, the resulting SSTCI fields and event catalogue provide a consistent, daily scale foundation for global monitoring, process attribution of land–atmosphere feedback, and early-warning applications for compound dry–hot hazards. Data introduced in this paper are openly accessible from https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18280747 (SSTCI) (Aftab et al., 2026c) and https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20826759 (CDHE event catalogue) (Aftab et al., 2026b).

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Rukhshinda Aftab, Daniel Fiifi Tawia Hagan, Guojie Wang, Baoying Shan, Syed Husnain Shah, Zhou Chensi, Wei Xikun, Fareeha Siddique, Ali Hasan Jaffry, and Emmanuel Yeboah

Status: open (until 05 Aug 2026)

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Rukhshinda Aftab, Daniel Fiifi Tawia Hagan, Guojie Wang, Baoying Shan, Syed Husnain Shah, Zhou Chensi, Wei Xikun, Fareeha Siddique, Ali Hasan Jaffry, and Emmanuel Yeboah

Data sets

Standarized Soil Moisture Tempreture Compound Index (SSTCI) Rukhshinda Aftab, Daniel Fiifi Tawia Hagan, Guojie Wang, Baoying Shan, Syed Husnain Shah, Zhou Chensi, Wei Xikun, Fareeha Siddique, Ali Hasan Jaffry, and Emmanuel Yeboah https://zenodo.org/records/18280747

Compound dry hot extreme(CDHE) event catalogue Rukhshinda Aftab, Daniel Fiifi Tawia Hagan,Guojie Wang, Baoying Shan, Syed Husnain Shah, Zhou Chensi, Wei Xikun,Fareeha Siddique, Ali Hasan Jaffry, and Emmanuel Yeboah https://zenodo.org/records/20826759

Model code and software

Standarized Soil Moisture Tempreture Compound Index (SSTCI) Rukhshinda Aftab, Daniel Fiifi Tawia Hagan,Guojie Wang, Baoying Shan, Syed Husnain Shah, Zhou Chensi, Wei Xikun, Fareeha Siddique, Ali Hasan Jaffry, and Emmanuel Yeboah https://github.com/Rukhshinda-Aftab/Standarized-Soil-Moisture-Tempreture-Compound-Index-SSTCI-

Compound dry hot extreme CDHE event catalogue Rukhshinda Aftab, Daniel Fiifi Tawia Hagan,Guojie Wang, Baoying Shan, Syed Husnain Shah, Zhou Chensi, Wei Xikun, Fareeha Siddique, Ali Hasan Jaffry, and Emmanuel Yeboah https://github.com/Rukhshinda-Aftab/Compound-dry-hot-extreme-CDHE-event-catalogue-

Rukhshinda Aftab, Daniel Fiifi Tawia Hagan, Guojie Wang, Baoying Shan, Syed Husnain Shah, Zhou Chensi, Wei Xikun, Fareeha Siddique, Ali Hasan Jaffry, and Emmanuel Yeboah
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Latest update: 29 Jun 2026
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Short summary
This study provides a daily global compound dry–hot index and a companion event catalogue that records individual events, covering 1961 to 2023 at 0.1° resolution. Based on soil moisture and temperature, these datasets reveal that compound dry–hot extremes have become more frequent and longer lasting in many regions, especially in recent decades. This work improves global monitoring of climate risks and their possible impacts on water, ecosystems, and agriculture.
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