Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-303
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-303
30 Jun 2026
 | 30 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

ClimAVA‑SWE: A High‑Resolution CMIP6‑Based Snow Water Equivalent Dataset for the Western United States

Sajad Khoshnood Motlagh, Kayla Smith, Wei Zhang, Sarah Null, Anna Miller, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, and Andre Geraldo de Lima Moraes

Abstract. The ClimAVA-SWE dataset provides bias-corrected daily snow water equivalent (SWE) estimates at approximately 4 km spatial resolution across the western United States, publicly available through the Harvard Dataverse and can be accessed via its official repository at https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/SCD2VT (Khoshnood Motlagh, de Lima Moraes and Smith, 2026). The dataset is generated using the Spatial Interactions Downscaling for Snow Water Equivalent (SPID-SWE) method, a data-driven statistical downscaling framework that integrates high-resolution reference SWE data (NSIDC-0719) with daily outputs from an ensemble of 14 CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs). SPID-SWE employs a dual random forest modeling strategy that explicitly distinguishes snow accumulation and ablation phases, improving seasonal SWE representation relative to single-phase approaches. ClimAVA-SWE spans a historical period (1981–2014) and future projections (2015–2100) under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585). The pixel-based design of SPID-SWE independently downscales each grid cell across space and time, preserving both spatial and temporal variability in the SWE signal. Although performance is conditioned on the quality of the driving input data, the dataset demonstrates strong accuracy and computational efficiency, providing a robust and scalable resource for high-resolution climate and hydrological impact applications.

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Sajad Khoshnood Motlagh, Kayla Smith, Wei Zhang, Sarah Null, Anna Miller, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, and Andre Geraldo de Lima Moraes

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Sajad Khoshnood Motlagh, Kayla Smith, Wei Zhang, Sarah Null, Anna Miller, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, and Andre Geraldo de Lima Moraes

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ClimAVA‑SWE: A High‑Resolution CMIP6‑Based Snow Water Equivalent Dataset for the Western United States Sajad Khoshnood Motlagh, Andre Geraldo de Lima Moraes, and Kayla Smith https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/SCD2VT

Sajad Khoshnood Motlagh, Kayla Smith, Wei Zhang, Sarah Null, Anna Miller, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, and Andre Geraldo de Lima Moraes
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Latest update: 30 Jun 2026
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Short summary
Snow stored in mountains is a critical water source for the western United States. We developed a high-resolution dataset of daily snow amounts from 1981 to 2100 under three future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Using statistical methods applied to fourteen global climate models, we produced estimates across the region at fine spatial detail. The dataset reliably captures peak snowpack, geographic patterns, and long-term changes. It supports water planning and climate impact studies.
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