Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-158
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-158
31 Mar 2026
 | 31 Mar 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

Tracking recent extremes and interannual variability of global fire emissions using a near-real-time extension to the Global Fire Emissions Database

Yang Chen, Guido R. van der Werf, Mingquan Mu, Dave van Wees, Joanne V. Hall, Louis Giglio, Roland Vernooij, Douglas C. Morton, Li Xu, Tianjia Liu, Rebecca C. Scholten, Shane R. Coffield, Melanie B. Follette-Cook, Lesley Ott, and James T. Randerson

Abstract. The Global Fire Emissions Database (GFED) is widely used to quantify spatiotemporal variability and long-term trends in burned area and fire emissions, supporting assessments of fire impacts on ecosystems and atmospheric composition. GFED has historically relied on observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), but orbital drift and planned sensor decommissioning pose challenges for maintaining record continuity and near-real-time (NRT) monitoring. Here we present the GFED5 near-real-time extension (GFED5NRT), a global fire emissions dataset that enables daily NRT analyses using active fire observations from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS). GFED5NRT uses biome- and region-specific lookup tables of effective fire area and fuel consumption, derived from VIIRS observations and standard GFED5 datasets, to estimate burned area and emissions from VIIRS active fire counts in a manner consistent with the GFED5 time series. Comparisons with GFED5 and independent datasets show strong agreement in spatial patterns, seasonal cycles, and interannual variability of fire activity. GFED5NRT captures recent major fire extremes and provides daily global NRT estimates of burned area and emissions for multiple trace gases and aerosols. Together, GFED5 and GFED5NRT provides a coherent framework for long-term analyses and NRT monitoring of evolving fire regimes in a changing climate. The GFED5NRT dataset is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18702700 (Chen et al., 2026).

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Yang Chen, Guido R. van der Werf, Mingquan Mu, Dave van Wees, Joanne V. Hall, Louis Giglio, Roland Vernooij, Douglas C. Morton, Li Xu, Tianjia Liu, Rebecca C. Scholten, Shane R. Coffield, Melanie B. Follette-Cook, Lesley Ott, and James T. Randerson

Status: open (until 07 May 2026)

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Yang Chen, Guido R. van der Werf, Mingquan Mu, Dave van Wees, Joanne V. Hall, Louis Giglio, Roland Vernooij, Douglas C. Morton, Li Xu, Tianjia Liu, Rebecca C. Scholten, Shane R. Coffield, Melanie B. Follette-Cook, Lesley Ott, and James T. Randerson

Data sets

GFED5NRT: Global Fire Emissions Database Near-Real-Time Extension Yang Chen, Guido R. van der Werf, Mingquan Mu, Dave van Wees, Joanne V. Hall, Louis Giglio, Roland Vernooij, Douglas C. Morton, Li Xu, Tianjia Liu, Rebecca C. Scholten, Shane R. Coffield, Melanie B. Follette-Cook, Lesley Ott, and James T. Randerson https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18702700

Yang Chen, Guido R. van der Werf, Mingquan Mu, Dave van Wees, Joanne V. Hall, Louis Giglio, Roland Vernooij, Douglas C. Morton, Li Xu, Tianjia Liu, Rebecca C. Scholten, Shane R. Coffield, Melanie B. Follette-Cook, Lesley Ott, and James T. Randerson
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Latest update: 31 Mar 2026
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Short summary
Fire patterns are changing, partly due to climate change. While the Global Fire Emissions Database (GFED) is a key tool for tracking fire impacts, its main satellite sensors are retiring. We introduce GFED5NRT, a new extension using modern VIIRS satellite data to provide daily, real-time updates on fires and smoke. By bridging past records with current observations, this system helps scientists and the public monitor extreme fire events and their effects on our changing planet.
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