Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-103
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-103
01 Apr 2026
 | 01 Apr 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

Daily Human Thermal Index Dataset for India (HiTIC-India) at 1-km Spatial Resolution (2003–2020)

Subhransu Sekhar Gouda, Saket Dubey, Vrinda Kankanala, Jasinta Gera, and Sukeerthi Bharatha

Abstract. Human exposure to extreme heat and cold poses increasing risks to public health, labour productivity, and urban sustainability, particularly in densely populated and climate-sensitive regions such as India. Human-perceived temperature (HPT) indices provide a more realistic measure of thermal stress than air temperature alone by integrating multiple meteorological factors. Here, we present the Human Thermal Index Collection for India (HiTIC-India), a high-resolution daily gridded dataset comprising twelve widely used HPT indices at 1 km spatial resolution for 2003–2020. The indices are initially derived from ERA5-based meteorological data and then downscaled using a Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) framework. This downscaling incorporates satellite-derived land surface temperature, precipitable water vapour, population density, and topographic variables (slope, elevation and aspect) to generate spatially continuous predictions at 1 km resolution. Model valuation shows high prediction accuracy across all indices, with a mean root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 3.12 °C, a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.89, and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.39 °C. The resulting dataset significantly captures local-scale variability in heat and cold stress across India’s diverse climatic and physiographic zones. HiTIC-India also supports numerous applications, including public health risk evaluation, urban heat exposure analysis, labour productivity assessment, and climate adaptation and mitigation planning. By providing consistent daily HPT datasets, HiTIC-India provides a comprehensive, high-resolution, and publicly accessible resource for climate–health research and evidence-based decision-making under warming climate.

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Subhransu Sekhar Gouda, Saket Dubey, Vrinda Kankanala, Jasinta Gera, and Sukeerthi Bharatha

Status: open (until 08 May 2026)

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Subhransu Sekhar Gouda, Saket Dubey, Vrinda Kankanala, Jasinta Gera, and Sukeerthi Bharatha

Data sets

Daily Human Thermal Index Dataset for India (HiTIC-India) at 1-km Spatial Resolution (2003–2020) S. S. Gouda et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18510626

Subhransu Sekhar Gouda, Saket Dubey, Vrinda Kankanala, Jasinta Gera, and Sukeerthi Bharatha
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Latest update: 01 Apr 2026
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Short summary
Extreme heat and cold affect health, work, and daily life across India, yet existing information on how people experience these conditions is often too coarse to reflect local variations. We created daily maps of 12 human thermal stress datasets for India from 2003 to 2020 using meteorological data and satellite information at 1 km resolution. The dataset reveals local patterns of heat and cold exposure and supports public health planning, urban design, and climate adaptation.
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