Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-738
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-738
23 Dec 2025
 | 23 Dec 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

Global Gridded Air-sea Oxygen Flux Inferred from a Machine Learning-based Dissolved Oxygen Product

Yuming Jin, Britton B. Stephens, Eric J. Morgan, Manfredi Manizza, and Jonathan Sharp

Abstract. We present estimates of the monthly open ocean air-sea O2 flux from 2004 to 2024 on a 1°×1° grid spanning 64.5°S to 79.5°N. The flux is computed using 4-dimensional ocean dissolved oxygen (DO) fields derived from Argo float and shipboard observations via machine learning algorithms (GOBAI-O2, Sharp et al., 2023). Flux uncertainties are quantified by generating a large ensemble of flux estimates, first propagating errors from the dissolved oxygen product, then computing fluxes across all combinations of three gas exchange parameterizations that account for bubble-mediated flux and three wind products. We apply DO adjustments to align our resolved global annual mean fluxes with those derived from scaling global ocean heat uptake and regional annual mean fluxes with those derived from ocean inversions. Our results show larger seasonal flux variations at high latitudes than at low latitudes, with clear differences between major ocean basins. Both adjusted and unadjusted annual mean flux estimates exhibit strong ocean O2 sinks at high latitudes, weak sources in the low-to-mid latitude subtropics, and weak sinks near the Equator. The annual mean adjustment significantly enhances ocean O2 uptake in the northern high latitudes and tropical regions while reducing outgassing in the northern subtropics. We evaluate our flux seasonal cycles and annual mean values by comparing forward transport simulations with atmospheric O2 observations from global airborne surveys and surface sampling stations. The simulations reproduce the observed mean seasonal cycles well, but some differences remain in the annual mean latitudinal gradients. We analyze fractional variance contributions from DO, wind, and gas exchange scheme uncertainties and their interactions at regional and hemispheric scales for both climatological monthly and annual mean fluxes. This dataset marks a major improvement over existing air-sea O2 flux products, as it includes the resolution of interannual variability in the flux seasonal cycle, the use of advanced machine learning-based DO fields that better represent complex spatial and temporal patterns, and robust uncertainty quantification across various scales.

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Yuming Jin, Britton B. Stephens, Eric J. Morgan, Manfredi Manizza, and Jonathan Sharp

Status: open (until 29 Jan 2026)

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Yuming Jin, Britton B. Stephens, Eric J. Morgan, Manfredi Manizza, and Jonathan Sharp

Data sets

GOBAI-O₂-Flux v1.0: Global Gridded Air-sea Oxygen Flux Inferred from a Machine Learning-based Dissolved Oxygen Product Yuming Jin https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17765275

Yuming Jin, Britton B. Stephens, Eric J. Morgan, Manfredi Manizza, and Jonathan Sharp
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Latest update: 23 Dec 2025
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Short summary
We produce monthly air-sea O2 flux estimates (2004–2024) on a 1°×1° grid using machine learning-based dissolved oxygen fields (GOBAI-O2, Sharp et al., 2023). Fluxes are calculated with multiple gas exchange schemes and wind products, then constrained to match independent regional to global annual mean fluxes estimates. We evaluate flux seasonal cycles and annual patterns against atmospheric O2 observations and quantify flux uncertainties from multiple sources.
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