Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-164
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-164
15 May 2025
 | 15 May 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

High-resolution inventory and classification of retrogressive thaw slumps in West Siberia

Nina Nesterova, Ilia Tarasevich, Marina Leibman, Artem Khomutov, Alexander Kizyakov, Ingmar Nitze, and Guido Grosse

Abstract. Permafrost thaw disrupts ecosystems, hydrology, and biogeochemical cycles, reinforcing climate change through a positive permafrost-carbon feedback loop. Thaw can be gradual, deepening the active layer, or abrupt, triggering thermokarst, thermo-erosion, or thermodenudation. Retrogressive thaw slumps (RTSs) are a key manifestation of abrupt permafrost thaw. Yet, their distribution, scale, and environmental controls in the West Siberian Arctic remain poorly understood, further complicated by their rapid evolution. This study presents an extensive update of the West Siberian RTS inventory through manual mapping using high-resolution, multi-source, multi-year recent (2016-2023) satellite basemaps (ESRI, Google Earth, and Yandex Maps). We developed an RTS classification capturing key environmental parameters, including morphology, spatial organization, terrain position, and associated relief-forming concurrent processes. The dataset comprises 6168 classified RTS landforms, integrating newly mapped sites with previously reported occurrences to provide a comprehensive view of a 445226 km2 region covering the Yamal, Gydan, and Tazovsky peninsulas. The collected data underwent manual filtering and verification, leveraging local field experience and observations from key sites to reduce uncertainty and minimize false positives. Accuracy analysis, performed by comparing the dataset with various field datasets collected across the peninsulas, confirmed high accuracy (>90%) for RTS identification. The dataset likely underestimated the distribution of small RTSs due to the resolution limitations of remote sensing data, hence generally providing a conservative estimate. This dataset serves as a valuable resource for diverse research fields, including ecology, biogeochemistry, geomorphology, climatology, permafrost science, and natural hazard assessment. Additionally, it provides a crucial reference dataset for machine learning applications, enhancing upcoming remote sensing classification and predictive modeling approaches. 

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Nina Nesterova, Ilia Tarasevich, Marina Leibman, Artem Khomutov, Alexander Kizyakov, Ingmar Nitze, and Guido Grosse

Status: open (until 22 Jun 2025)

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Nina Nesterova, Ilia Tarasevich, Marina Leibman, Artem Khomutov, Alexander Kizyakov, Ingmar Nitze, and Guido Grosse

Data sets

Manually mapped retrogressive thaw slumps in West Siberia [dataset] Nina Nesterova et al. https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.974406

Nina Nesterova, Ilia Tarasevich, Marina Leibman, Artem Khomutov, Alexander Kizyakov, Ingmar Nitze, and Guido Grosse

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Short summary
We created the first detailed map of retrogressive thaw slump (RTS) landforms across a large area of the West Siberian Arctic. RTSs are key features of abrupt permafrost thaw accelerated by climate change. Using satellite images and field data, we identified and classified over 6000 RTSs. This dataset helps scientists better understand how warming is changing Arctic landscapes and provides a trusted reference for training artificial intelligence to detect these landforms in the future.
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