Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-553
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-553
25 Nov 2025
 | 25 Nov 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

SEEPS4ALL: an open dataset for the verification of daily precipitation forecasts using station climate statistics

Zied Ben-Bouallègue, Ana Prieto-Nemesio, Angela Iza Wong, Florian Pinault, Marlies van der Schee, and Umberto Modigliani

Abstract. Forecast verification is an essential task when developing a forecasting model. How well does a model perform? How does the forecast performance compare with previous versions or other models? Which aspects of the forecast could be improved? In weather forecasting, these questions apply in particular to precipitation, a key weather parameter with vital societal applications. Scores specifically designed to assess the performance of precipitation forecasts have been developed over the years. One example is the Stable and Equitable Error in Probability Space (SEEPS, Rodwell et al., 2010). The computation of this score is however not straightforward because it requires information about the precipitation climatology at the verification locations. More generally, climate statistics are key to assessing forecasts for extreme precipitation and high-impact events. Here, we introduce SEEPS4ALL, a set of data and tools that democratize the use of climate statistics for verification purposes. In particular, verification results for daily precipitation are showcased with both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts.

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Zied Ben-Bouallègue, Ana Prieto-Nemesio, Angela Iza Wong, Florian Pinault, Marlies van der Schee, and Umberto Modigliani

Status: open (until 01 Jan 2026)

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Zied Ben-Bouallègue, Ana Prieto-Nemesio, Angela Iza Wong, Florian Pinault, Marlies van der Schee, and Umberto Modigliani

Data sets

SEEPS4ALL version 1.0 Zied Ben Bouallègue https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17052887

Zied Ben-Bouallègue, Ana Prieto-Nemesio, Angela Iza Wong, Florian Pinault, Marlies van der Schee, and Umberto Modigliani
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Latest update: 25 Nov 2025
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Short summary
SEEPS4ALL is a precipitation dataset consisting of observations at meteorological stations over 3 years (2022–2024 for now), and a set of corresponding climate statistics estimated over 30 years (1991–2020). A climatology is derived separately for each station and each month of the year. Along with the dataset, SEEPS4ALL also resembles a set of verification tools. In a nutshell, SEEPS4ALL helps promote the benchmark of daily precipitation forecasts against in-situ observations over Europe.
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