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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ESSDD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Earth System Science Data Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ESSDD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1866-3591</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/essd-2026-693</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>DEN-SURGE: High-frequency and multi-decadal Danish storm surge reconstruction integrating hydrodynamic modelling, observations, and machine learning</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Su</surname>
<given-names>Jian</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3603-8089</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Nielsen</surname>
<given-names>Jacob Woge</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Madsen</surname>
<given-names>Kristine Skovgaard</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6371-1078</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Larsen</surname>
<given-names>Morten Andreas Dahl</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7478-5416</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Danish Meteorological Institute, Sankt Kjelds Plads 11, Copenhagen, 2100, Denmark</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>03</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>34</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Jian Su et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-693/">This article is available from https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-693/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-693/essd-2026-693.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-693/essd-2026-693.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Assessing coastal hazards and planning robust defence infrastructure under a changing climate requires long-term, high-frequency sea-level records. However, historical tide gauge records are often temporally fragmented, while raw hydrodynamic hindcasts tend to systematically underestimate sub-hourly storm surge peaks due to spatial model resolution limitations. This paper introduces ReSEML v1.0 (Residual Surge Ensemble Machine Learning), a machine learning framework designed to reconstruct continuous, sub-hourly extreme sea-level catalogues across complex coastlines. By training a stacked deep learning ensemble (LSTM + TCN) to exclusively predict the local physical residual between sub-hourly tide gauge observations and a hydrodynamic model baseline, we build the continuous 64-year DEN-SURGE catalogue (1961&amp;ndash;2024) across 50 Danish stations. By eliminating sensor malfunctions, closing multi-year monitoring gaps, and correcting numerical peak underestimations, DEN-SURGE delivers an AI-ready benchmark whose quality and physical completeness surpass both raw simulations and fragmented gauge records. Due to regional characteristics, corrections are applied by partitioning the coastline into 10 clusters. Out-of-sample validation shows that ReSEML reduces nationwide mean bias during high water events to within &amp;plusmn; 0.4 cm and lowers Root Mean Squared Errors (RMSE) for the same events below 10 cm. Cross-referencing against independent historical storm surge lists confirms the framework&apos;s reliability in capturing historical peaks and recovering missing extremes. Extending the continuous record back to 1961 stabilises Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) curves, reducing 95 % confidence intervals for the 100-year return level by on average 46 %. While focused here on historical catalogue homogenisation, this work also provides a methodological bridge for downscaling future climate simulations, establishing a consistent framework to quantify evolving climate risks in coastal planning.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="34"/></counts>
</article-meta>
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