Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-417
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-417
15 Jun 2026
 | 15 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

Monthly-updated territorial fossil CO2 emissions estimates for Japan

Taro Kunimitsu and Robbie M. Andrew

Abstract. We present a low-lag, monthly dataset of emissions of carbon dioxide from fossil fuel consumption and industrial processes in Japan, derived directly from official activity data and starting in 2007. Such estimates will be crucial for near-real-time monitoring of emissions and making swift policy responses accordingly. When aggregated, our estimates replicate the annual data published through the UNFCCC national inventory report very well, with only small discrepancies which we describe and quantify. The dataset is produced with a lag of two months and can be used to estimate the annual emissions a year ahead of the official estimates submitted to the UNFCCC, and also provides a better starting point for short-term emissions projections.

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Taro Kunimitsu and Robbie M. Andrew

Status: open (until 22 Jul 2026)

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Taro Kunimitsu and Robbie M. Andrew

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Monthly-updated territorial fossil CO2 emissions estimates for Japan Taro Kunimitsu and Robbie M. Andrew https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20023227

Taro Kunimitsu and Robbie M. Andrew
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Short summary
We present a low-lag dataset of monthly CO2 emissions from fossil fuel consumption and industrial processes in Japan, derived directly from official statistical data. The monthly dataset can be used to estimate the annual emissions a year ahead of the official estimates submitted to the UNFCCC. Such monthly emissions estimates will provide further opportunities for understanding in a timely manner the reasons behind emissions changes, leading to targeted policy changes for climate mitigation.
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