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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ESSDD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Earth System Science Data Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ESSDD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1866-3591</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/essd-2026-318</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Reconstruction of Global 0.25&amp;deg; Land Lightning Density from 1979 to 2025 based on an ensemble machine learning</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zheng</surname>
<given-names>Hao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Jun</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7359-1647</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhou</surname>
<given-names>Hao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ding</surname>
<given-names>Jingfeng</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dai</surname>
<given-names>Haijin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2331-7137</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Huang</surname>
<given-names>Zhi</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Zishan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Meirong</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Jianying</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Hengmao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jiang</surname>
<given-names>Fei</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1744-7565</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ju</surname>
<given-names>Weimin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210023, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory for Advanced Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Technology, Key Laboratory for Land Satellite Remote Sensing Applications of Ministry of Natural Resources, School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210023, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>College of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Joint Center for Data Assimilation Research and Applications/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change (ILCEC)/Collaborative Innovation Center ON Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Mêdog Field Station for Scientific Observation and Research on Atmospheric Water Cycle/Xigazê and Mêdog National Climate Observatory, Tibet Meteorological Service, Lhasa, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>29</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>30</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Hao Zheng et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-318/">This article is available from https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-318/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-318/essd-2026-318.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-318/essd-2026-318.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Lightning is a primary driver of severe convective hazards and wildfire ignitions, yet long-term, high-resolution gridded records have remained scarce due to the limited temporal coverage of ground-based networks and the sampling constraints of satellite observations. Here, we presented a new global 0.25&amp;deg; &amp;times; 0.25&amp;deg; monthly land lightning stroke-density dataset spanning 1979&amp;ndash;2025. To ensure robustness, we developed a ridge regression stacking ensemble that integrated four complementary machine learning architectures: eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Random Forest (RF), and Deep Neural Network (DNN). The ensemble achieved superior performance over each single model (test R&amp;sup2; = 0.6895, RMSE = 0.0108, MAE = 0.0030), indicating that model blending effectively enhanced predictive stability. Individual validations confirmed high spatial fidelity, as the ensemble successfully reproduced the observed large-scale spatial distribution and major tropical&amp;ndash;subtropical continental lightning hotspots. Independent comparisons with the LIS/OTD gridded lightning climatology (&amp;plusmn;38&amp;deg;) further demonstrated strong spatiotemporal consistency, particularly in reproducing interannual variability. Our analysis revealed pronounced regional heterogeneity in multi-decadal trends: significant decreases were concentrated across several tropical convective centers, while localized increases emerged in specific mid-latitude regions. Attribution based on SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) elucidated that these patterns were primarily governed by the coupling of thermodynamic instability (CAPE &amp;times; TP), moisture availability, and ice-phase hydrometeor conditions. This dataset provided a physically constrained and spatially detailed basis for studying long-term lightning dynamics, offering practical inputs for natural-ignition modeling, lightning-produced NOx estimation, and the evaluation of lightning parameterizations in climate and Earth system models. The datasets of the 1979&amp;ndash;2025 Global Land Lightning Density Reconstruction Version 1 (GLLDR v1) are publicly available at the Zenodo via the following DOI: &lt;a href=&quot;https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19722380&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;noopener&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19722380&lt;/a&gt; (Zheng et al., 2026a).</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="30"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
<award-id>42475129</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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