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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="data-paper" specific-use="SMUR" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ESSDD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Earth System Science Data Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ESSDD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1866-3591</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/essd-2026-287</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Indicators of Global Climate Change 2025: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Forster</surname>
<given-names>Piers M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6078-0171</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Walsh</surname>
<given-names>Tristram</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5227-9432</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Smith</surname>
<given-names>Chris</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lamb</surname>
<given-names>William F.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3273-7878</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lamboll</surname>
<given-names>Robin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cassou</surname>
<given-names>Christophe</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hauser</surname>
<given-names>Mathias</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0057-4878</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hausfather</surname>
<given-names>Zeke</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lee</surname>
<given-names>June-Yi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3986-9753</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Palmer</surname>
<given-names>Matthew D.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>von Schuckmann</surname>
<given-names>Karina</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9922-8528</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Slangen</surname>
<given-names>Aimée B. A.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6268-6683</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff15">
<sup>15</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff50">
<sup>50</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Szopa</surname>
<given-names>Sophie</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8641-1737</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff16">
<sup>16</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Trewin</surname>
<given-names>Blair</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff17">
<sup>17</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yun</surname>
<given-names>Jeongeun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>P. Gillett</surname>
<given-names>Nathan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2957-0002</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff18">
<sup>18</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jenkins</surname>
<given-names>Stuart</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2284-0302</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Matthews</surname>
<given-names>H. Damon</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3625-390X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff19">
<sup>19</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Raghavan</surname>
<given-names>Krishnan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0433-7818</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff20">
<sup>20</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ribes</surname>
<given-names>Aurélien</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5102-7885</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff21">
<sup>21</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rogelj</surname>
<given-names>Joeri</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff22">
<sup>22</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rosen</surname>
<given-names>Debbie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Xuebin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff23">
<sup>23</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Allen</surname>
<given-names>Myles</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff24">
<sup>24</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>M. Andrew</surname>
<given-names>Robbie</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8590-6431</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff25">
<sup>25</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Atkinson</surname>
<given-names>Chris</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8440-9860</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Betts</surname>
<given-names>Richard A.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4929-0307</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff26">
<sup>26</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bombelli</surname>
<given-names>Antonio</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff27">
<sup>27</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Burgess</surname>
<given-names>Samantha N.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff28">
<sup>28</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cheng</surname>
<given-names>Lijing</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9854-0392</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff29">
<sup>29</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Claxton</surname>
<given-names>Helen E.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Friedlingstein</surname>
<given-names>Pierre</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3309-4739</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff26">
<sup>26</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Frölicher</surname>
<given-names>Thomas L.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff30">
<sup>30</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff31">
<sup>31</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Domingues</surname>
<given-names>Catia M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5100-4595</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff32">
<sup>32</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gasser</surname>
<given-names>Thomas</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gregory</surname>
<given-names>Catherine H.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8867-8144</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff30">
<sup>30</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff31">
<sup>31</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hoesly</surname>
<given-names>Rachel M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff33">
<sup>33</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Huppmann</surname>
<given-names>Daniel</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7729-7389</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ishii</surname>
<given-names>Masayoshi</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff34">
<sup>34</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kadow</surname>
<given-names>Christopher</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6537-3690</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff35">
<sup>35</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Karwat</surname>
<given-names>Alexia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0002-9192-039X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kennedy</surname>
<given-names>John</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6841-7289</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff27">
<sup>27</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Killick</surname>
<given-names>Rachel E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5335-4097</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kovilakam</surname>
<given-names>Mahesh V. M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6145-9304</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff36">
<sup>36</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Krummel</surname>
<given-names>Paul B.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4884-3678</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff37">
<sup>37</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lan</surname>
<given-names>Xin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff38">
<sup>38</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff39">
<sup>39</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lamarque</surname>
<given-names>Jean-François</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff40">
<sup>40</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Liné</surname>
<given-names>Aurélien</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6095-9633</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Martín-Míguez</surname>
<given-names>Belén</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff27">
<sup>27</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Monselesan</surname>
<given-names>Didier P.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff41">
<sup>41</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Morice</surname>
<given-names>Colin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5656-1021</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mühle</surname>
<given-names>Jens</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9776-3642</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff42">
<sup>42</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mussak</surname>
<given-names>Pino</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Peters</surname>
<given-names>Glen P.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7889-8568</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff25">
<sup>25</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pirani</surname>
<given-names>Anna</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7287-8347</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff43">
<sup>43</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pongratz</surname>
<given-names>Julia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0372-3960</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff44">
<sup>44</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rigby</surname>
<given-names>Matthew</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-9253</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff45">
<sup>45</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rohde</surname>
<given-names>Robert</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0408-3005</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Savita</surname>
<given-names>Abhishek</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff46">
<sup>46</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff47">
<sup>47</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Seneviratne</surname>
<given-names>Sonia I.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9528-2917</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Smith</surname>
<given-names>Steven J.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3248-5607</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff33">
<sup>33</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Taha</surname>
<given-names>Ghassan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8362-6516</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff48">
<sup>48</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff49">
<sup>49</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tassone</surname>
<given-names>Caterina</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff27">
<sup>27</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Thorne</surname>
<given-names>Peter</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0485-9798</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff50">
<sup>50</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wells</surname>
<given-names>Christopher</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1958-0984</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Western</surname>
<given-names>Luke M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0043-711X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff51">
<sup>51</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>van der Werf</surname>
<given-names>Guido R.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9042-8630</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff52">
<sup>52</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wijffels</surname>
<given-names>Susan E.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff41">
<sup>41</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff53">
<sup>53</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zecchetto</surname>
<given-names>Marco</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhong</surname>
<given-names>Junting</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff54">
<sup>54</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Xiao-ye</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff54">
<sup>54</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Masson-Delmotte</surname>
<given-names>Valérie</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8296-381X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff16">
<sup>16</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhai</surname>
<given-names>Panmao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff54">
<sup>54</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Priestley Centre for Climate Futures, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Institut Pierre‑Simon Laplace, Paris, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Berkeley Earth, Berkeley, CA, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Stripe Inc., South San Francisco, CA, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Research Center for Climate Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff14">
<label>14</label>
<addr-line>Mercator Ocean International, Toulouse, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff15">
<label>15</label>
<addr-line>Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ), Yerseke, the Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff16">
<label>16</label>
<addr-line>Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), Université Paris‑Saclay, Gif‑sur‑Yvette, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff17">
<label>17</label>
<addr-line>Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff18">
<label>18</label>
<addr-line>Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff19">
<label>19</label>
<addr-line>Concordia University, Montreal, QC, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff20">
<label>20</label>
<addr-line>Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff21">
<label>21</label>
<addr-line>CNRM, Météo‑France, CNRS, Université de Toulouse, Toulouse, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff22">
<label>22</label>
<addr-line>Grantham Institute for Climate Change and Environment, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff23">
<label>23</label>
<addr-line>Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff24">
<label>24</label>
<addr-line>Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff25">
<label>25</label>
<addr-line>CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff26">
<label>26</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff27">
<label>27</label>
<addr-line>Global Climate Observing System, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff28">
<label>28</label>
<addr-line>European Centre for Medium‑Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Reading, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff29">
<label>29</label>
<addr-line>State Key Laboratory of Earth System Numerical Modeling, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff30">
<label>30</label>
<addr-line>Climate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff31">
<label>31</label>
<addr-line>Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff32">
<label>32</label>
<addr-line>National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff33">
<label>33</label>
<addr-line>Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff34">
<label>34</label>
<addr-line>Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff35">
<label>35</label>
<addr-line>German Climate Computing Center (DKRZ), Hamburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff36">
<label>36</label>
<addr-line>Morgan State University, Baltimore, MD, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff37">
<label>37</label>
<addr-line>CSIRO Environment, Environmental Business Unit, Hobart, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff38">
<label>38</label>
<addr-line>Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff39">
<label>39</label>
<addr-line>Global Monitoring Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Boulder, CO, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff40">
<label>40</label>
<addr-line>Three Cairns Group, New York, NY, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff41">
<label>41</label>
<addr-line>CSIRO Environment, Climate Intelligence, Hobart, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff42">
<label>42</label>
<addr-line>Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff43">
<label>43</label>
<addr-line>Euro‑Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Venice, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff44">
<label>44</label>
<addr-line>Ludwig‑Maximilians‑Universität München, Munich, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff45">
<label>45</label>
<addr-line>School of Chemistry, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff46">
<label>46</label>
<addr-line>Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff47">
<label>47</label>
<addr-line>Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric and Earth Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff48">
<label>48</label>
<addr-line>NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff49">
<label>49</label>
<addr-line>Langley Research Center, NASA, Hampton, VA, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff50">
<label>50</label>
<addr-line>ICARUS Climate Research Centre, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Ireland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff51">
<label>51</label>
<addr-line>Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff52">
<label>52</label>
<addr-line>Wageningen University &amp; Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff53">
<label>53</label>
<addr-line>Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States of America</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff54">
<label>54</label>
<addr-line>Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>23</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>87</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Piers M. Forster et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-287/">This article is available from https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-287/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-287/essd-2026-287.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2026-287/essd-2026-287.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>In a rapidly changing climate, evidence-based decision-making benefits from up-to-date and timely information. We track twelve key sets of indicators of the state of the climate system, closely following Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment report (AR6) methods, to produce our fourth annual publication. One of the indicators, the Earth&apos;s energy imbalance (EEI) provides a crucial integrative measure of the pace of climate change &amp;ndash; this has more than doubled since the 1976&amp;ndash;1995 period. A newly updated indicator of temperature extremes, the number of days experiencing marine heatwaves, has more than tripled between 1991 and 2025.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For the 2016&amp;ndash;2025 decade average, observed warming relative to 1850&amp;ndash;1900 was 1.26 [1.13 to 1.36] &amp;deg;C, of which 1.24 [1.0 to 1.5]&amp;thinsp;&amp;deg;C was human-induced. Human-induced warming reached 1.37 &amp;deg;C relative to 1850-1900 in the year 2025, increasing at a rate of 0.27 [0.2&amp;ndash;0.4] &amp;deg;C per decade over 2016&amp;ndash;2025. This high rate of warming, which matches the all-time high seen last year in the instrumental record, was caused by a combination of greenhouse gas emissions being at an all-time high of 54.6&amp;thinsp;&amp;plusmn;&amp;thinsp;5.5&amp;thinsp;GtCO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;e per year over the last decade (2015&amp;ndash;2024), as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. Despite this, there is evidence that CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emission growth is slowing. The continuation of these annual updates could track decreases or increases in the rate of human influence and climatic changes presented here, reflecting the outcomes of societal choices during the critical 2020s decade.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In total, we employ analysis &lt;span&gt;from over 40 global datasets (https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.7883757 Smith et al., 2026a) These data are threatened by geopolitical and public funding decisions that are cutting support for key satellite and in-situ observing programs critical for the monitoring of the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere and land surface, including long-term data preservation and provision that is key to understanding our changing climate for today and for future generations. Overall, the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) framework, which supports much of our international capability, is under threat. Our ability to monitor effectively many of the indicators presented herein is not guaranteed without concerted international action to ensure the continuity of observation programs and coordination mechanisms, including the GCOS program, that enable their effective integration and use.&lt;/span&gt;</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="87"/></counts>
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</front>
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<back>
</back>
</article>