@Article{essd-2025-825,
AUTHOR = {Thorne, P. W. and Nicklas, J. M. and Kennedy, J. J. and Calvert, B. and Fox-Kemper, B. and Richardson, M. T. and Simmons, A. and Hawkins, E. and Rhode, R. and Cowtan, K. and Abram, N. J. and Andersson, A. and Noone, S. and Marbaix, P. and Lenssen, N. and Olonscheck, D. and Walsh, T. and Outten, S. and Bethke, I. and Samset, B. H. and Smith, C. and Pirani, A. and Fuglestvedt, J. and Rajamani, L. and Betts, R. A. and Kent, E. C. and Trewin, B. and Morice, C. and Osborn, T. and Burgess, S. N. and Geden, O. and Parnell, A. and Forster, P. M. and Hewitt, C. and Hausfather, Z. and Masson-Delmotte, V. and Marotzke, J. and Gillett, N. and Seneviratne, S. I. and Schmidt, G. A. and Chan, D. and Br\"onnimann, S. and Reisinger, A. and Menne, M. and Rojas Corradi, M. and Kadow, C. and Huybers, P. and Stephenson, D. B. and Wallis, E. and Rogelj, J. and Schurer, A. and McKinnon, K. and Zhai, P. and Driouech, F. and Moufouma Okia, W. and Vazifehkhah, S. and Szopa, S. and Merchant, C. J. and Hirahara, S. and Ishii, M. and Engelbrecht, F. A. and Li, Q. and Lee, J.-Y. and Cannon, A. J. and Cassou, C. and von Schuckmann, K. and Delju, A. H. and Murtagh, E.},
TITLE = {How well can we quantify when 1.5\,{\degree}C of global warming has been exceeded?},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Science Data Discussions},
VOLUME = {2026},
YEAR = {2026},
PAGES = {1--121},
URL = {https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2025-825/},
DOI = {10.5194/essd-2025-825}
}