Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-300
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-300
24 Jun 2025
 | 24 Jun 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal ESSD.

Reconstructing sea level rise at global 945 tide gauges since 1900

Dapeng Mu, Ruhui Huang, Peng Yin, Haoming Yan, and Tianhe Xu

Abstract. Tide gauges record sea level changes along coast. They are widely used to determine the twentieth century global mean sea level (GMSL) rise. However, a major issue in tide gauge data is the presence of various, substantial, and sometime persistent data gaps, which hinder our understanding of sea level rise, especially at regional and local scales. Whilst the GMSL reconstructions have been provided by several influential studies, reconstructions at the exact sites of tide gauges are rarely available. Here, we present sea level reconstructions at global 945 tide gauges, covering the period over 1900 to 2022. Our approach relies on a data assimilation technique that integrates various physical sea level observations and predictions, including sea level simulations from 35 climate models. A prominent feature in our reconstruction is that it provides an ensemble of 35 reconstructions at each site of tide gauge, offering complete and refined sea level time series. This ensemble reconstruction allows for direct statistical assessment, e.g., average, median, spread, and percentile. The average of reconstructed sea level across 945 tide gauges reveals a GMSL rise of 1.75±0.05 mm/yr over 1900–2020, and shows strong agreements with other GMSL reconstructions for both the curves of time series and overall trends. At local scale, our reconstructions are comparable to an independent reconstruction, despite apparent rate differences at locations, it is suggested that our reconstructed sea level trends closely follow the raw records when they are available, emphasizing the importance of the observed sea level rise at tide gauges. Our sea level reconstructions offer a valuable resource for improving global and regional sea level projections, validating climate model performance, and informing coastal adaptation strategies. The reconstructed sea level is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15385035 (Mu, 2025).

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Dapeng Mu, Ruhui Huang, Peng Yin, Haoming Yan, and Tianhe Xu

Status: open (until 31 Jul 2025)

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Dapeng Mu, Ruhui Huang, Peng Yin, Haoming Yan, and Tianhe Xu

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Sea level reconstruction at global 945 tide gauges Dapeng Mu https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15385035

Dapeng Mu, Ruhui Huang, Peng Yin, Haoming Yan, and Tianhe Xu
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We present sea level reconstructions at global 945 tide gauges since 1900. Our approach relies on a data assimilation technique that integrates various physical sea level observations and predictions. A prominent feature in our reconstruction is that it provides an ensemble of 35 complete time series at sites of tide gauge, which allows for direct statistical assessment. The average of our reconstructed global mean sea level shows strong agreements with other reconstructions.
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